Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 58810.56 DOGE at 0.0715$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07181 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0714 (0.18 %)
Long Trade on DOGE (CatchTheWave)
With 58810.56 DOGE at 0.0715$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07181 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0714 (0.18 %)
Position
Entry 0.07153$
Qty 58810.5565 DOGE
Size 4207.0132$ (margin 100$) (leverage 42)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07181 (+0.39%)
TP $ 16.47$
SL 0.0714 (-0.18%)
SL $ 7.65$
RR 2.15
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8769
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.53×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 02:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.567441 15m : 0.672422 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 12/08 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5712 | r1h: 0.072% · r4h: -0.163% · r1d: 2.93% · r3d: 3.08% · ema21_slope: 0.1343% · dist_ema21: 0.940% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5714 | rs_1h: -0.047% · rs_4h: -0.209% · rs_1d: 3.18% · rs_3d: 4.56% · beta_24h: 1.236 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1896 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.411 · trend: -37.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7553 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 36.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.700% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.280% | 1.5R | -0.222% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.280% | 1.5R | -0.222% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.893% | 4.9R | -0.222% | 1.2R | 4.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.893% | 4.9R | -1.734% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.893% | 4.9R | -1.734% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.49% | +0.52 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.79 | bear_medium | -0.78% | +0.36 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bear_low | -0.94% | +0.24 | 12/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -3.1ATR | — | 0.59 | range_low | -0.18% | -0.09 | 12/08 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 39b | — | 3.57×ATR | p44 | +0.471×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 3.427×ATR | p58 | +1.466×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.842×ATR | p60 | +0.306×ATR | p20 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.855×ATR | p82 | -2.149×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63733.7
-0.00192545
63611
0.567441
63792.3
-0.00176049
63680
0.672422
64368.7
-0.0105917
63687
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0.073105
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0.3592
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0.2122
0.6076
0.6898
0.844
0.752
0.6446
0.1153
0.0945
1
0.2998
1.531
0.55
0.45
1
8
1
0.5047
0.7117
4.7367
0.55
3.2845
6.0231
1.531
0.0045
0.3057
0.74
0.8644
0.6057
0.4766
0.8919
0.6446
-2.7775
5.0376
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:25 | 0.07153500 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 02:31 | 0.07140600 | -0.173% |
| 3 | 02:37 | 0.07147500 | -0.077% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 01:10:00 | 0.072516 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 01:35:00 | 0.072172 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:50:00 | 0.072469 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:55:00 | 0.071875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:35:00 | 0.072441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:20:00 | 0.072288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:30:00 | 0.072012 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:05:00 | 0.07191 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:20:00 | 0.072219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:20:00 | 0.071502 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 14:15:00 | 0.071308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:45:00 | 0.069925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 17:45:00 | 0.071266 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:15:00 | 0.070461 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 0.073105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.07184 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 0.072516 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:45:00 | 0.071875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:30:00 | 0.072441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:15:00 | 0.071624 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 0.071511 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.069837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.070984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.069087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 0.070127 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.069388 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 02:00:00 | 0.070341 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 0.071308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 0.073105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 0.071624 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07153 | 0.0714 | 0.07181 | 2.15 | 0.08385 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0714 - 0.07153 = -0.00012999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07153 - 0.07181 = -0.00028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00028 / -0.00012999999999999 = 2.1538
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4207.0132 | 100 | 58810.5565 | 42.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00012999999999999 = -61538.46
Taille de position USD = -61538.46 x 0.07153 = -4401.85
Donc, tu peux acheter -61538.46 avec un stoploss a 0.0714
Avec un position size USD de -4401.85$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -61538.46 x -0.00012999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -61538.46 x -0.00028 = 17.23
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 17.23$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 16.47 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 7.65 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.65 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2223 % | 122.34 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07153 | 0.0714 | 0.07181 | 2.15 | 0.08385 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0714 - 0.07153 = -0.00012999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07153 - 0.07181 = -0.00028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00028 / -0.00012999999999999 = 2.1538
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.280% | 1.5R | -0.222% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.280% | 1.5R | -0.222% | 1.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.893% | 4.9R | -0.222% | 1.2R | 4.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.893% | 4.9R | -1.734% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.893% | 4.9R | -1.734% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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