Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 138050.04 kBONK at 0.00229$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002238 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002353 (2.53 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 03:10:04
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 08:30
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.002295$
Qty 138050.0431 kBONK
Size 316.8248$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002238 (+2.48%)
TP $ 7.87$
SL 0.002353 (-2.53%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.98
Status
win
PnL
+2.48%
/ +7.87$
MAE -0.17%
MFE +2.75%
1.1R
expires
12 Aug 09:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66606)
#26 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 03:00
score du 12/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2797
Quality Score
0.520
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 03:01
12/08 03:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#26 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#26 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.53 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.56×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 12/08 03:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5200
Score SMA
0.4788
Rank
#26
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2797
Rank Norm SMA
0.1789
Calculé le
12/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3269 | r1h: -2.044% · r4h: -0.990% · r1d: -3.12% · r3d: -7.52% · ema21_slope: -0.0793% · dist_ema21: -1.289% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3298 | rs_1h: -1.740% · rs_4h: -0.852% · rs_1d: -2.61% · rs_3d: -5.68% · beta_24h: 1.377 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6928 | rvol_20: 2.38× · zscore_50: 1.446 · trend: 21.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6726 | ADX: 38.1 (trend) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.527%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.610% | 0.2R | -0.087% | 0.0R | 7.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.394% | 0.6R | -0.087% | 0.0R | 16.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.656% | 0.7R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.745% | 1.1R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 15.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.442% | 1.4R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.442% | 1.4R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.44
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.49% | -0.95 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -0.78% | -0.38 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.27 | bear_low | -1.03% | -0.07 | 12/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_medium |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.31% | -0.07 | 12/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 14.75×ATR | p100 | -2.903×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 4.295×ATR | p78 | -1.405×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.016×ATR | p26 | -1.352×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.618×ATR | p67 | -1.356×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00235295
- tp_price: 0.00223763
- atr: 2.318E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T13:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 42
- total: 44
- score: 0.3269
- delta_2h: -0.0387
- extension_atr: -1.29
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2797
- confidence: 0.953
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | 0.00229500 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:10 | 0.00229000 | -0.218% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002295 | 0.002353 | 0.002238 | 0.98 | 0.002991 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002295
- Stop Loss: 0.002353
- Take Profit: 0.002238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002353 - 0.002295 = 5.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002295 - 0.002238 = 5.7E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 0.9828
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316.8248 | 100 | 138050.0431 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 5.8E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 5.8E-5 = 137931.03
Taille de position USD = 137931.03 x 0.002295 = 316.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 137931.03 avec un stoploss a 0.002353
Avec un position size USD de 316.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 137931.03 x 5.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 137931.03 x 5.7E-5 = 7.86
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.86$
Résumé
- Taille de position 137931.03
- Taille de position USD 316.55
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.86
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9828
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 7.87 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.87 $ | 2.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1743 % | 6.9 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002295 | 0.002353 | 0.002238 | 0.98 | 0.002991 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002295
- Stop Loss: 0.002353
- Take Profit: 0.002238
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002353 - 0.002295 = 5.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002295 - 0.002238 = 5.7E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 0.9828
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.527%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.610% | 0.2R | -0.087% | 0.0R | 7.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.394% | 0.6R | -0.087% | 0.0R | 16.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.656% | 0.7R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.745% | 1.1R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 15.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.442% | 1.4R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.442% | 1.4R | -0.174% | 0.1R | 19.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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