Short Trade on PUMP

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12 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 58458.17 PUMP at 0.00267$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0026 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002804 (5.14 %)

PUMP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 04:10 → 10:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.002667$

Qty 58458.1659 PUMP

Size 155.9079$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0026 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.92$

SL 0.002804 (-5.14%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.49

Status loss PnL -1.65% / -2.57$ MAE -3.37% MFE +1.27% 0.3R expires 12 Aug 10:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66668)

#49 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3910

Quality Score

0.415

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

34.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 04:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#49 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-5

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.14 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#49 / 49 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.14 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.49×ATR
4h	clear	2.96×ATR
1d	clear	6.43×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 04:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

12/08 04:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 12/08 03:00 Score : -5 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

12/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

12/08 03:00

Score : -5 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4151

Score SMA

0.5292

Rank

#49 / 49

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3910

Rank Norm SMA

0.5173

Calculé le

12/08/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3364	r1h: -2.322% · r4h: -4.539% · r1d: -6.36% · r3d: 5.96% · ema21_slope: -0.0382% · dist_ema21: -3.190%
Force Relative	25%	0.3079	rs_1h: -2.272% · rs_4h: -4.313% · rs_1d: -5.75% · rs_3d: 7.72% · beta_24h: -0.051
Volume	20%	0.2995	rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: -0.297 · trend: -28.71%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5155	ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.137% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.275%	0.3R	-0.375%	0.1R	3.4×	12
2h	+1.275%	0.3R	-2.025%	0.4R	0.6×	24
4h	+1.275%	0.3R	-2.025%	0.4R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+1.275%	0.3R	-3.375%	0.7R	0.4×	72
8h	+1.275%	0.3R	-5.212%	1.0R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.275%	0.3R	-5.212%	1.0R	0.2×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.7

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	near -0.2ATR	0.57	bear_high	-4.49%	+1.00	11/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.42	range_medium	-0.73%	+0.87	12/08 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	range_high	37%	noisy_chop 39%	late	near 0.5ATR	—	0.21	bear_low	-0.97%	-0.25	12/08 03:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 49%	late	—	—	0.15	range_low	-0.24%	-0.41	12/08 03:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	29b	—	6.558×ATR	p89	+1.855×ATR	p90
4h	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.246×ATR	p20	+0.24×ATR	p16
1h	↓ down	late	4b	—	2.838×ATR	p58	-1.679×ATR	p83
15m	↓ down	late	14b	—	6.66×ATR	p97	-3.006×ATR	p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00280385
tp_price: 0.00260033
atr: 5.474E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-12T14:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 48
total: 50
score: 0.3364
delta_2h: -0.1096
extension_atr: -1.18
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.391
confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002667	0.002804	0.0026	0.49	0.00461

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002667
Stop Loss: 0.002804
Take Profit: 0.0026

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002804 - 0.002667 = 0.000137
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002667 - 0.0026 = 6.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.7E-5 / 0.000137 = 0.4891

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
155.9079	100	58458.1659	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.000137

Taille de position = 8 / 0.000137 = 58394.16

Taille de position USD = 58394.16 x 0.002667 = 155.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 58394.16 avec un stoploss a 0.002804

Avec un position size USD de 155.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 58394.16 x 0.000137 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 58394.16 x 6.7E-5 = 3.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.91$

Résumé

Taille de position 58394.16
Taille de position USD 155.74
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.91
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4891

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	3.92 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.14 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.57 $	-1.65

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.3746 %	65.69 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002667	0.002804	0.0026	0.49	0.00461

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002667
Stop Loss: 0.002804
Take Profit: 0.0026

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002804 - 0.002667 = 0.000137
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002667 - 0.0026 = 6.7E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.7E-5 / 0.000137 = 0.4891

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.137% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.275%	0.3R	-0.375%	0.1R	3.4×	12
2h	+1.275%	0.3R	-2.025%	0.4R	0.6×	24
4h	+1.275%	0.3R	-2.025%	0.4R	0.6×	48
6h ★	+1.275%	0.3R	-3.375%	0.7R	0.4×	72
8h	+1.275%	0.3R	-5.212%	1.0R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.275%	0.3R	-5.212%	1.0R	0.2×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

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