Short Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2399.57 JUP at 0.174$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1698 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1775 (1.89 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 04:10:04
hyperliquid
JUP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 04:10
→ 04:45
· 34 minutes
Position
Entry 0.1742$
Qty 2399.5705 JUP
Size 417.9812$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1698 (+2.53%)
TP $ 10.56$
SL 0.1775 (-1.89%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 1.33
Status
win
PnL
+2.53%
/ +10.56$
MAE -0.26%
MFE +2.99%
1.6R
expires
12 Aug 10:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66652)
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 04:00
score du 12/08/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1409
Quality Score
0.426
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 04:01
12/08 04:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.01×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.23×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4259
Score SMA
0.5000
Rank
#48
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1409
Rank Norm SMA
0.3170
Calculé le
12/08/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3473 | r1h: -0.304% · r4h: -1.665% · r1d: -3.63% · r3d: -6.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1023% · dist_ema21: -1.583% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3838 | rs_1h: -0.254% · rs_4h: -1.439% · rs_1d: -3.03% · rs_3d: -4.53% · beta_24h: 1.281 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2472 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.614 · trend: 16.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5088 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.813% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.894%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.264% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.264% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.264% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.63
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -4.49% | -0.41 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | -0.73% | -0.36 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_low | -0.97% | -0.26 | 12/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -2.0ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.26% | -0.14 | 12/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 8.83×ATR | p94 | -1.744×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 4.648×ATR | p80 | -2.015×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.032×ATR | p62 | -1.964×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 6.072×ATR | p93 | -2.571×ATR | p95 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.17752393
- tp_price: 0.16983525
- atr: 0.00133357
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T14:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 50
- score: 0.3473
- delta_2h: -0.0537
- extension_atr: -1.5
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1409
- confidence: 0.918
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1742 | 0.1775 | 0.1698 | 1.33 | 0.2175 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1742
- Stop Loss: 0.1775
- Take Profit: 0.1698
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1775 - 0.1742 = 0.0033
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1742 - 0.1698 = 0.0044
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0044 / 0.0033 = 1.3333
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 417.9812 | 100 | 2399.5705 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0033
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0033 = 2424.24
Taille de position USD = 2424.24 x 0.1742 = 422.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 2424.24 avec un stoploss a 0.1775
Avec un position size USD de 422.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2424.24 x 0.0033 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2424.24 x 0.0044 = 10.67
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.67$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2424.24
- Taille de position USD 422.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 10.67
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.3333
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 10.56 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.89 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 10.56 $ | 2.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2009 % | 10.6 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1742 | 0.1775 | 0.1698 | 1.33 | 0.2175 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1742
- Stop Loss: 0.1775
- Take Profit: 0.1698
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1775 - 0.1742 = 0.0033
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1742 - 0.1698 = 0.0044
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0044 / 0.0033 = 1.3333
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -1.894%
(0.0033)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.201% | 0.1R | 14.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.264% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.264% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.985% | 1.6R | -0.264% | 0.1R | 11.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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