Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1210.06 NEAR at 1.636$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6496 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6298 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1210.06 NEAR at 1.636$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6496 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6298 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 1.6364$
Qty 1210.0604 NEAR
Size 1980.1429$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6496 (+0.81%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 1.6298 (-0.4%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9282
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.84×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.18×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.70×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 05:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.240136 15m : 0.296997 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 12/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5386 | r1h: -0.449% · r4h: -1.115% · r1d: 2.27% · r3d: 1.40% · ema21_slope: 0.2151% · dist_ema21: 0.987% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5226 | rs_1h: -0.352% · rs_4h: -1.121% · rs_1d: 2.85% · rs_3d: 3.00% · beta_24h: 2.105 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3527 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.250 · trend: 77.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7570 | ADX: 30.8 (trend) · Chop: 25.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.172% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -0.073% | 0.2R | 24.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -0.073% | 0.2R | 24.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.784% | 4.4R | -0.073% | 0.2R | 24.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -1.577% | 3.9R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -1.577% | 3.9R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -4.49% | -0.74 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.62 | range_medium | -0.66% | +0.33 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_low | -0.81% | +0.42 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.11% | -0.11 | 12/08 04:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 5.199×ATR | p70 | -0.403×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 3.48×ATR | p38 | +0.778×ATR | p45 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.199×ATR | p29 | +0.796×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.123×ATR | p86 | -0.666×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63742.5
0.000525173
63776
0.240136
63782.8
-0.00010683
63776
0.296997
64331.6
-0.00869906
63772
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0.76
0.3565
0.6304
0.6164
0.8578
0.7059
-2.3424
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0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 03:25:00 | 1.6494 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 04:00:00 | 1.6695 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:30:00 | 1.6467 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 04:50:00 | 1.6653 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:05:00 | 1.6566 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:30:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 1.6406 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 07:35:00 | 1.6362 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 1.6516 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 09:05:00 | 1.633 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 09:15:00 | 1.6128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:15:00 | 1.5905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:30:00 | 1.5985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:45:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 04:30:00 | 1.6467 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:30:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:30:00 | 1.6362 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 1.633 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 1.6064 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 1.6096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 1.649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 1.5955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 1.6681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 1.5903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 1.6362 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6364 | 1.6298 | 1.6496 | 2 | 1.7995 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6298 - 1.6364 = -0.0066000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6364 - 1.6496 = -0.0132
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0132 / -0.0066000000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980.1429 | 100 | 1210.0604 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0066000000000002 = -1212.12
Taille de position USD = -1212.12 x 1.6364 = -1983.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -1212.12 avec un stoploss a 1.6298
Avec un position size USD de -1983.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1212.12 x -0.0066000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1212.12 x -0.0132 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0733 % | 18.18 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6364 | 1.6298 | 1.6496 | 2 | 1.7995 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6298 - 1.6364 = -0.0066000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6364 - 1.6496 = -0.0132
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0132 / -0.0066000000000002 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -0.073% | 0.2R | 24.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -0.073% | 0.2R | 24.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.784% | 4.4R | -0.073% | 0.2R | 24.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -1.577% | 3.9R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.784% | 4.4R | -1.577% | 3.9R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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