Long Trade on SOL

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12 Aug 2026 at 06:36:31 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SOL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 10 SOL at 76.792$ per unit. Take profit: 78.7914 (2.6 %) & Stop Loss: 75.9923 (1.04 %)

SOL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 06:36 → 10:00 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 76.792$

Qty 10.0032 SOL

Size 768.1638$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)

Risk Setup

TP 78.7914 (+2.6%)

TP $ 20$

SL 75.9923 (-1.04%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -1.04% / -8$ MAE -1.93% MFE +0.64% 0.6R expires 12 Aug 18:36

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66726)

#22 / 48 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6098

Quality Score

0.537

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

85 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

113.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 06:30

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#22 / 48 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

85 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#22 / 48 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

85 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.17×ATR
4h	near	0.16×ATR
1d	near	0.31×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 06:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

12/08 06:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 12/08 06:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

12/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1)

12/08 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.5365

Score SMA

0.5390

Rank

#22 / 48

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6098

Rank Norm SMA

0.6106

Calculé le

12/08/2026 06:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5542	r1h: 0.751% · r4h: 0.574% · r1d: 1.17% · r3d: 0.38% · ema21_slope: 0.0418% · dist_ema21: 0.768%
Force Relative	25%	0.5547	rs_1h: 0.364% · rs_4h: 0.276% · rs_1d: 1.58% · rs_3d: 1.68% · beta_24h: 1.184
Volume	20%	0.2635	rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.251 · trend: -19.48%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5259	ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 0.481% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.041% (0.7997)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.044%	0.0R	-0.158%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.636%	0.6R	-0.288%	0.3R	2.2×	24
4h	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.663%	1.6R	0.4×	48
8h	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.880%	1.8R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.934%	1.9R	0.3×	144
24h	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.934%	1.9R	0.3×	288

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.15

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early	—	near 0.3ATR	0.87	bear_high	-4.49%	+0.26	11/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.80	range_medium	-0.19%	+0.19	12/08 04:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bull_medium	64%	noisy_chop 48%	late	—	near 0.2ATR	0.71	range_low	-0.25%	+0.16	12/08 06:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion	bull_low_confirmed	46%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.75	range_low	+0.31%	+0.02	12/08 06:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	11b	—	2.551×ATR	p0	+0.581×ATR	p38
4h	↑ up	early	5b	—	2.576×ATR	p13	+0.897×ATR	p55
1h	↑ up	late	3b	—	2.454×ATR	p40	+1.961×ATR	p88
15m	↑ up	mid	6b	—	3.883×ATR	p77	+1.501×ATR	p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.8482
reason: up_bo width=2.99×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
stop_price: 75.99225395
tp_price: 78.79136512
atr:
score: 0.84818
expires_at: 2026-08-12T22:36:23.996710
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.84818

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.1281
obi_top10 : 0.1281
micro_price : 76.72799949
spread_pct : 0.001303
mid_price : 76.7275
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1282
obi_top5_std : 0.0012
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7107
aggregation_tick : 0.1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
76.562
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
75.494
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
76.028
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1786377600
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1786528800
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.9877
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
43
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8482
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1786525200
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
76.562
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.8372
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.6434
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
0
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
4
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
1
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.35746048

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.8372

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.6434

Signaux confirmants (7)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	06:36	76.79200000	0%
2	06:42	76.79200000	0%
3	06:48	76.73900000	-0.069%
4	06:54	76.73900000	-0.069%
5	07:00	76.73900000	-0.069%
6	08:36	76.97000000	+0.232%
7	08:42	76.97000000	+0.232%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7107ms Confidence avant OB : 85% → 85%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.128

avg 0.128 ± 0.001

OBI Top 10 0.128

Microstructure

Mid Price

76.7275

Micro Price

76.7280

Spread

0.0013%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
76.792	75.9923	78.7914	2.5	105.17

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 76.792
Stop Loss: 75.9923
Take Profit: 78.7914

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 75.9923 - 76.792 = -0.7997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 76.792 - 78.7914 = -1.9994
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9994 / -0.7997 = 2.5002

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
768.1638	100	10.0032	8.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.7997

Taille de position = 8 / -0.7997 = -10

Taille de position USD = -10 x 76.792 = -767.92

Donc, tu peux acheter -10 avec un stoploss a 75.9923

Avec un position size USD de -767.92$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -10 x -0.7997 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -10 x -1.9994 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

Taille de position -10
Taille de position USD -767.92
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.6 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.04 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-1.04

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.3504 %	129.67 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
76.792	75.9923	78.7914	2.5	105.17

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 76.792
Stop Loss: 75.9923
Take Profit: 78.7914

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 75.9923 - 76.792 = -0.7997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 76.792 - 78.7914 = -1.9994
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9994 / -0.7997 = 2.5002

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 78.7914
            [entry_price] => 76.792
            [stop_loss] => 75.91233
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 78.7914
            [entry_price] => 76.792
            [stop_loss] => 75.83236
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 78.7914
            [entry_price] => 76.792
            [stop_loss] => 75.75239
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 14:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 78.7914
            [entry_price] => 76.792
            [stop_loss] => 75.59245
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 14:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.041% (0.7997)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.044%	0.0R	-0.158%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.636%	0.6R	-0.288%	0.3R	2.2×	24
4h	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.663%	1.6R	0.4×	48
8h	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.880%	1.8R	0.3×	96
12h ★	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.934%	1.9R	0.3×	144
24h	+0.636%	0.6R	-1.934%	1.9R	0.3×	288

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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