Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.7 XMR at 394.94$ per unit. Take profit: 398.3477 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 393.2362 (0.43 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 4.7 XMR at 394.94$ per unit. Take profit: 398.3477 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 393.2362 (0.43 %)
Position
Entry 394.94$
Qty 4.6953 XMR
Size 1854.3532$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 398.3477 (+0.86%)
TP $ 16$
SL 393.2362 (-0.43%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7339
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.33×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 06:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.167403 15m : 0.252563 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5664 | r1h: 0.575% · r4h: 2.063% · r1d: 1.10% · r3d: 4.84% · ema21_slope: -0.0149% · dist_ema21: 2.483% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6147 | rs_1h: 0.188% · rs_4h: 1.765% · rs_1d: 1.52% · rs_3d: 6.14% · beta_24h: 0.952 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5981 | rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: 1.769 · trend: 20.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7400 | ADX: 28.8 (trend) · Chop: 28.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.009% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.291% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.377% | 3.2R | -0.114% | 0.3R | 12.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.377% | 3.2R | -0.208% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.502% | 3.5R | -0.208% | 0.5R | 7.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.502% | 3.5R | -1.150% | 2.7R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.49% | +0.83 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.19% | +0.44 | 12/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.11 | range_low | -0.25% | +0.17 | 12/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.33% | +0.17 | 12/08 06:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.535×ATR | p0 | +1.539×ATR | p86 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.968×ATR | p32 | +1.201×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 5.655×ATR | p90 | +1.502×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.586×ATR | p0 | +0.714×ATR | p31 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63852.9
0.00369667
64089
0.167403
63844.4
0.00387732
64092
0.252563
64327.1
-0.00297132
64136
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375.18
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0.0721
1
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1.1887
0.55
0.45
-1
10
1
0.3493
0.5689
4.6913
0.55
3.0836
4.8398
1.1887
0.3079
0.2026
0.9
0.1706
0.6784
0.537
0
0.5936
-4.4596
6.515
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 02:25:00 | 381.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:40:00 | 378.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:10:00 | 378.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 06:05:00 | 395.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:50:00 | 399.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 397.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:35:00 | 400.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 08:40:00 | 396.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:55:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:40:00 | 394.94 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 10:45:00 | 399.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 386.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 17:00:00 | 392.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:30:00 | 383.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 00:15:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 382.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 378.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:30:00 | 396.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:45:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:30:00 | 395.25 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 380.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 415.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 02:00:00 | 403.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 392.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 401.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 391.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 401.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 399.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.94 | 393.2362 | 398.3477 | 2 | 467.46 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 393.2362 - 394.94 = -1.7038
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.94 - 398.3477 = -3.4077
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4077 / -1.7038 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1854.3532 | 100 | 4.6953 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.7038 = -4.7
Taille de position USD = -4.7 x 394.94 = -1856.22
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.7 avec un stoploss a 393.2362
Avec un position size USD de -1856.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.7 x -1.7038 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.7 x -3.4077 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.86 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 394.94 | 393.2362 | 398.3477 | 2 | 467.46 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 393.2362 - 394.94 = -1.7038
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 394.94 - 398.3477 = -3.4077
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.4077 / -1.7038 = 2.0001
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.291% | 3.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.377% | 3.2R | -0.114% | 0.3R | 12.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.377% | 3.2R | -0.208% | 0.5R | 6.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.502% | 3.5R | -0.208% | 0.5R | 7.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.502% | 3.5R | -1.150% | 2.7R | 1.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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