Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 148.31 VVV at 11.866$ per unit. Take profit: 11.9739 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 11.8121 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 148.31 VVV at 11.866$ per unit. Take profit: 11.9739 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 11.8121 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 11.866$
Qty 148.3106 VVV
Size 1759.8539$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 11.9739 (+0.91%)
TP $ 16$
SL 11.8121 (-0.45%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8223
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.15×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.90×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.124747 15m : 0.373756 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 09:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5413 | r1h: 0.017% · r4h: -1.165% · r1d: 2.07% · r3d: 2.91% · ema21_slope: 0.1757% · dist_ema21: 1.226% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5587 | rs_1h: 0.227% · rs_4h: -0.984% · rs_1d: 2.39% · rs_3d: 4.79% · beta_24h: 1.831 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1976 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.565 · trend: -23.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7708 | ADX: 32.7 (trend) · Chop: 38.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.189% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -1.357% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -1.357% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.278% | 0.6R | -2.334% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -3.118% | 6.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -3.118% | 6.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -3.70% | +0.17 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.47 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.66 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.34 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.42 | 12/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | range_low | +0.14% | +0.11 | 12/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.402×ATR | p43 | +0.138×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.322×ATR | p11 | +0.924×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.28×ATR | p0 | +0.929×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 2.826×ATR | p52 | +0.145×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63973
-0.00278247
63795
0.124747
63883
-0.00137826
63795
0.373756
64298.3
-0.0101143
63648
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11.78
195
0.7184
0.5346
0.381
0.2651
0.4758
0.3857
0.4864
0.7414
0.6558
0.6118
0.6125
0.7142
0.1613
0.0773
1
0.9442
1.4225
0.55
0.45
1
8
1
0.4697
0.2381
5.6001
0.65
0.3857
2.1599
1.4225
0.7857
0.1907
0.68
0.0057
0.5848
0.6278
0.8571
0.7142
-2.3618
5.901
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 11.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:10:00 | 11.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:55:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:35:00 | 11.964 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:50:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 12.045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:30:00 | 11.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:55:00 | 11.992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:05:00 | 11.866 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 11.469 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 21:15:00 | 11.386 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 11.597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:30:00 | 11.508 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:45:00 | 12.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:30:00 | 11.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 11.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:45:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 11.866 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 18:00:00 | 12.103 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 11.551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 12.311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 21:00:00 | 11.776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 11.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 11.771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 11.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.866 | 11.8121 | 11.9739 | 2 | 17.194 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.8121 - 11.866 = -0.053900000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.866 - 11.9739 = -0.1079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1079 / -0.053900000000001 = 2.0019
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1759.8539 | 100 | 148.3106 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.053900000000001 = -148.42
Taille de position USD = -148.42 x 11.866 = -1761.15
Donc, tu peux acheter -148.42 avec un stoploss a 11.8121
Avec un position size USD de -1761.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -148.42 x -0.053900000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -148.42 x -0.1079 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5056 % | 111.32 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.866 | 11.8121 | 11.9739 | 2 | 17.194 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.8121 - 11.866 = -0.053900000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.866 - 11.9739 = -0.1079
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1079 / -0.053900000000001 = 2.0019
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -1.357% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -1.357% | 3.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.278% | 0.6R | -2.334% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -3.118% | 6.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.278% | 0.6R | -3.118% | 6.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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