Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 229.2 LINK at 8.763$ per unit. Take profit: 8.833 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7283 (0.4 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 229.2 LINK at 8.763$ per unit. Take profit: 8.833 (0.8 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7283 (0.4 %)
Position
Entry 8.7632$
Qty 229.1957 LINK
Size 2008.4877$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 8.833 (+0.8%)
TP $ 16$
SL 8.7283 (-0.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8774
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.441507 15m : 0.645446 |
1H_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 12/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5672 | r1h: -0.431% · r4h: 0.093% · r1d: 1.72% · r3d: 6.10% · ema21_slope: 0.1025% · dist_ema21: 0.820% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5885 | rs_1h: -0.220% · rs_4h: 0.274% · rs_1d: 2.04% · rs_3d: 7.98% · beta_24h: 1.307 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3068 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.703 · trend: 65.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6885 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 52.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.717% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -0.821% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -0.821% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.299% | 0.8R | -0.821% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -1.553% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -1.682% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | near -2.1ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -3.70% | +0.53 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.83 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.58 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.19 | 12/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.10% | +0.02 | 12/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.345×ATR | p13 | +1.813×ATR | p89 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 5.476×ATR | p86 | +2.1×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.297×ATR | p4 | +1.3×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.589×ATR | p55 | -0.223×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63960.3
-0.00524292
63625
0.441507
63879.6
-0.00398689
63625
0.645446
64298.3
-0.0101143
63648
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0.28
-0.2742
0.4333
0.5312
0.8958
0.8664
-1.6877
10.9471
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:08 | 8.76320000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:25 | 8.74480000 | -0.21% |
| 3 | 10:32 | 8.72690000 | -0.414% |
| 4 | 10:38 | 8.72280000 | -0.461% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 09:10:00 | 8.7357 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:00:00 | 8.8139 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:40:00 | 8.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:00:00 | 8.7952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:40:00 | 8.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:50:00 | 8.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:40:00 | 8.806 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:55:00 | 8.8329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:05:00 | 8.7539 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 15:30:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 8.6052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:30:00 | 8.5373 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 21:30:00 | 8.809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:45:00 | 8.7395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:30:00 | 8.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.7539 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 8.3887 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 8.1617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 8.3696 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 8.2075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 8.4581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 8.7117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7632 | 8.7283 | 8.833 | 2 | 11.565 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7283 - 8.7632 = -0.034899999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7632 - 8.833 = -0.069800000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.069800000000001 / -0.034899999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008.4877 | 100 | 229.1957 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.034899999999999 = -229.23
Taille de position USD = -229.23 x 8.7632 = -2008.79
Donc, tu peux acheter -229.23 avec un stoploss a 8.7283
Avec un position size USD de -2008.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -229.23 x -0.034899999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -229.23 x -0.069800000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5158 % | 129.5 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7632 | 8.7283 | 8.833 | 2 | 11.565 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7283 - 8.7632 = -0.034899999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7632 - 8.833 = -0.069800000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.069800000000001 / -0.034899999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -0.821% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -0.821% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.299% | 0.8R | -0.821% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -1.553% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.299% | 0.8R | -1.682% | 4.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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