Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 135135.14 kBONK at 0.00224$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002184 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002299 (2.63 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 10:10:04
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 16:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.00224$
Qty 135135.1351 kBONK
Size 302.7027$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002184 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.57$
SL 0.002299 (-2.63%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.95
Status
loss
PnL
-2.19%
/ -6.62$
MAE -2.41%
MFE +1.07%
0.4R
expires
12 Aug 16:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66943)
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 10:00
score du 12/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1931
Quality Score
0.443
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 10:01
12/08 10:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4431
Score SMA
0.4744
Rank
#48
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1931
Rank Norm SMA
0.1508
Calculé le
12/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3219 | r1h: -0.133% · r4h: -1.876% · r1d: -4.18% · r3d: -9.50% · ema21_slope: -0.1320% · dist_ema21: -2.180% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3562 | rs_1h: 0.077% · rs_4h: -1.695% · rs_1d: -3.86% · rs_3d: -7.62% · beta_24h: 1.525 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1707 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.735 · trend: -35.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8225 | ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 39.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.100% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.634%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -0.134% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -0.134% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.071% | 0.4R | -2.411% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -2.411% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -2.411% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.34
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -3.70% | -0.98 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.46 | range_medium | -0.23% | -0.69 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | -0.44% | -0.21 | 12/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.10% | -0.24 | 12/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 14.853×ATR | p100 | -3.287×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 6.081×ATR | p91 | -2.81×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.081×ATR | p82 | -2.076×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.311×ATR | p3 | -2.016×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0022992
- tp_price: 0.002184
- atr: 2.368E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T20:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 49
- score: 0.3219
- delta_2h: -0.0153
- extension_atr: -2.19
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1931
- confidence: 0.958
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:10 | 0.00224000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:10 | 0.00224300 | +0.134% |
| 3 | 12:10 | 0.00223100 | -0.402% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00224 | 0.002299 | 0.002184 | 0.95 | 0.002889 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00224
- Stop Loss: 0.002299
- Take Profit: 0.002184
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002299 - 0.00224 = 5.9E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00224 - 0.002184 = 5.6E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.6E-5 / 5.9E-5 = 0.9492
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 302.7027 | 100 | 135135.1351 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 5.9E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 5.9E-5 = 135593.22
Taille de position USD = 135593.22 x 0.00224 = 303.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 135593.22 avec un stoploss a 0.002299
Avec un position size USD de 303.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 135593.22 x 5.9E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 135593.22 x 5.6E-5 = 7.59
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.59$
Résumé
- Taille de position 135593.22
- Taille de position USD 303.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.59
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9492
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.57 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.63 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.62 $ | -2.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1875 % | 83.05 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.00224 | 0.002299 | 0.002184 | 0.95 | 0.002889 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.00224
- Stop Loss: 0.002299
- Take Profit: 0.002184
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002299 - 0.00224 = 5.9E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.00224 - 0.002184 = 5.6E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.6E-5 / 5.9E-5 = 0.9492
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.634%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -0.134% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -0.134% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.071% | 0.4R | -2.411% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -2.411% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.071% | 0.4R | -2.411% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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