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Short Trade on LIT

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12 Aug 2026 at 10:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 130.93 LIT at 2.289$ per unit. Take profit: 2.238 (2.22 %) & Stop Loss: 2.35 (2.67 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 10:15 → 10:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 2.2889$

Qty 130.9329 LIT

Size 299.6923$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 2.238 (+2.22%)

TP $ 6.66$

SL 2.35 (-2.67%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.83

Status win PnL +2.22% / +6.66$ MAE -6.60% MFE +3.62% 1.4R expires 12 Aug 22:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66966)
#46 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3284

Quality Score
0.457
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
20.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 10:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#46 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.67 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#46 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.67 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.42×ATR
4h near -0.72×ATR
1d clear 1.73×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

12/08 10:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

12/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

12/08 09:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4572
Score SMA
0.5414
Rank
#46 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3284
Rank Norm SMA
0.4801
Calculé le
12/08/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3808 r1h: -1.199% · r4h: 0.281% · r1d: -6.18% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: -0.2395% · dist_ema21: -1.375%
Force Relative 25% 0.4069 rs_1h: -0.988% · rs_4h: 0.462% · rs_1d: -5.87% · rs_3d: 1.41% · beta_24h: 0.705
Volume 20% 0.1921 rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.607 · trend: -31.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6856 ADX: 31.4 (trend) · Chop: 47.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.703% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.669% (0.0611)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.618% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.618% 1.4R -2.342% 0.9R 1.5× 24
4h +3.618% 1.4R -6.322% 2.4R 0.6× 48
8h +3.618% 1.4R -6.601% 2.5R 0.6× 96
12h ★ +3.618% 1.4R -6.601% 2.5R 0.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 37% early — — — bear_high -3.70% +0.68 11/08 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 31% early near -0.7ATR near 0.1ATR 0.32 range_medium -0.23% +0.26 12/08 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 38% early near 0.4ATR — 0.31 range_low -0.44% -0.49 12/08 09:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition weak grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.22 range_low +0.14% +0.06 12/08 09:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 9b — 1.959×ATR p0 +0.446×ATR p25
4h ↓ down early 6b — 2.649×ATR p29 -0.301×ATR p19
1h ↑ up early 7b — 1.303×ATR p4 -0.87×ATR p44
15m ↓ down early 4b — 1.844×ATR p10 -0.12×ATR p10

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 2.35
  2. tp_price: 2.23797347
  3. atr: 0.02037061
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-13T02:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.3808
  4. avg_rank_8h: 42.8
  5. rank_velocity: 2.2
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 4.17
  7. trigger_price: 2.315
  8. fip_24h: -0.333
  9. confidence: 0.917

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.2889 2.35 2.238 0.83 3.5094
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.2889
  • Stop Loss: 2.35
  • Take Profit: 2.238

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.35 - 2.2889 = 0.0611

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.2889 - 2.238 = 0.0509

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0509 / 0.0611 = 0.8331

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
299.6923 100 130.9329 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0611

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0611 = 130.93

Taille de position USD = 130.93 x 2.2889 = 299.69

Donc, tu peux acheter 130.93 avec un stoploss a 2.35

Avec un position size USD de 299.69$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 130.93 x 0.0611 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 130.93 x 0.0509 = 6.66

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.66$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 130.93
  • Taille de position USD 299.69
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.66
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8331

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.22 % 6.66 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.67 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
6.66 $ 2.22
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
2.2889 2.35 2.238 0.83 3.5094
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 2.2889
  • Stop Loss: 2.35
  • Take Profit: 2.238

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 2.35 - 2.2889 = 0.0611

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 2.2889 - 2.238 = 0.0509

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0509 / 0.0611 = 0.8331

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.1667
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.13615
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.1056
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.07505
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.0445
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.01395
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.9834
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.95285
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.9223
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.89175
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.8612
            [stop_loss] => 2.35
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 17:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.669% (0.0611)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.618% 1.4R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.618% 1.4R -2.342% 0.9R 1.5× 24
4h +3.618% 1.4R -6.322% 2.4R 0.6× 48
8h +3.618% 1.4R -6.601% 2.5R 0.6× 96
12h ★ +3.618% 1.4R -6.601% 2.5R 0.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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