Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 93425.2 PUMP at 0.00273$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002519 (7.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002819 (3.15 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 93425.2 PUMP at 0.00273$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002519 (7.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002819 (3.15 %)
Position
Entry 0.002733$
Qty 93425.2014 PUMP
Size 255.3311$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002519 (+7.83%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.002819 (-3.15%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.49
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3195
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 12/08 09:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4888 | r1h: -1.599% · r4h: 0.222% · r1d: -0.59% · r3d: 0.26% · ema21_slope: -0.0655% · dist_ema21: -0.537% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4650 | rs_1h: -1.388% · rs_4h: 0.403% · rs_1d: -0.27% · rs_3d: 2.14% · beta_24h: 0.731 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1986 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.762 · trend: -32.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4903 | ADX: 16.0 (weak) · Chop: 55.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.094% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.537% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.537% | 0.5R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.537% | 0.5R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.744% | 0.9R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.744% | 0.9R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -3.70% | +1.00 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.42 | range_medium | -0.23% | +0.78 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.21 | range_low | -0.44% | -0.02 | 12/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.19 | range_low | +0.14% | +0.23 | 12/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 29b | — | 6.287×ATR | p89 | +1.724×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.935×ATR | p0 | +0.535×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.34×ATR | p0 | -0.267×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.941×ATR | p25 | +0.157×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.002632
142
0.4079
0.5897
0.3135
0.216
0.3933
1
0.1206
0.502
0.3946
0.1205
0.5937
0.6611
-0.0194
-0.0066
0.3333
-0.1803
-0.1716
0.6
0.4
-1
7
1
0.568
0.6026
3.1498
0.55
1.6106
3.283
-0.1716
0.1078
0.2499
0.04
-0.1552
0.451
0.4604
0.532
0.6611
-4.9142
9.5877
1
1
0
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0.002632
0.002814
0.002814
0.002632
0.002748
0.002632
0.00269
0.7338
0.002814
0.00273
0.002772
0.8418
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002733 | 0.002819 | 0.002519 | 2.49 | 0.004426 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002819 - 0.002733 = 8.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002733 - 0.002519 = 0.000214
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000214 / 8.6E-5 = 2.4884
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 255.3311 | 100 | 93425.2014 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 8.6E-5 = 93023.26
Taille de position USD = 93023.26 x 0.002733 = 254.23
Donc, tu peux acheter 93023.26 avec un stoploss a 0.002819
Avec un position size USD de 254.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 93023.26 x 8.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 93023.26 x 0.000214 = 19.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.83 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.15 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -3.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5858 % | 113.95 % | 50 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002733 | 0.002819 | 0.002519 | 2.49 | 0.004426 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002819 - 0.002733 = 8.6E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002733 - 0.002519 = 0.000214
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000214 / 8.6E-5 = 2.4884
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.537% | 0.5R | -0.512% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.537% | 0.5R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.537% | 0.5R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.744% | 0.9R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.744% | 0.9R | -2.671% | 0.9R | 1.0× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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