Short Trade on JUP (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 2777.78 JUP at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1697 (1.22 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1747 (1.69 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 10:15:08
hyperliquid
JUP
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 10:15
→ 12:45
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.1718$
Qty 2777.7778 JUP
Size 477.1667$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1697 (+1.22%)
TP $ 5.83$
SL 0.1747 (-1.69%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 0.72
Status
win
PnL
+1.22%
/ +5.83$
MAE -0.29%
MFE +1.80%
1.1R
expires
12 Aug 22:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66944)
#39 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 10:00
score du 12/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2736
Quality Score
0.477
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 10:01
12/08 10:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#39 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#39 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.25×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 12/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4767
Score SMA
0.4969
Rank
#39
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2736
Rank Norm SMA
0.2816
Calculé le
12/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3905 | r1h: -0.380% · r4h: -0.202% · r1d: -3.87% · r3d: -6.34% · ema21_slope: -0.1146% · dist_ema21: -1.017% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4109 | rs_1h: -0.169% · rs_4h: -0.021% · rs_1d: -3.55% · rs_3d: -4.46% · beta_24h: 1.703 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2182 | rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.631 · trend: -4.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7543 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 38.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.983% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.688%
(0.0029)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.617% | 0.4R | -0.268% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.617% | 0.4R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.356% | 0.8R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.799% | 1.1R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.799% | 1.1R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.16
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -3.70% | -0.58 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | -0.23% | -0.48 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.47 | range_low | -0.44% | -0.14 | 12/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | — | range_low | +0.10% | -0.07 | 12/08 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 41b | — | 8.685×ATR | p94 | -1.946×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 4.532×ATR | p80 | -1.64×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.457×ATR | p48 | -1.076×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.834×ATR | p10 | -0.374×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.17466
- tp_price: 0.16967017
- atr: 0.00084393
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T02:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 49
- score: 0.3905
- avg_rank_8h: 44.4
- rank_velocity: -1.4
- pullback_depth_atr: 6.71
- trigger_price: 0.17213
- fip_24h: -0.25
- confidence: 0.875
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1718 | 0.1747 | 0.1697 | 0.72 | 0.208 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1718
- Stop Loss: 0.1747
- Take Profit: 0.1697
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1747 - 0.1718 = 0.0029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1718 - 0.1697 = 0.0021
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0021 / 0.0029 = 0.7241
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 477.1667 | 100 | 2777.7778 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0029
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0029 = 2758.62
Taille de position USD = 2758.62 x 0.1718 = 473.93
Donc, tu peux acheter 2758.62 avec un stoploss a 0.1747
Avec un position size USD de 473.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0029 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2758.62 x 0.0021 = 5.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.79$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2758.62
- Taille de position USD 473.93
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.79
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7241
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.22 % | 5.83 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.69 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.83 $ | 1.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2852 % | 16.9 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1718 | 0.1747 | 0.1697 | 0.72 | 0.208 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1718
- Stop Loss: 0.1747
- Take Profit: 0.1697
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1747 - 0.1718 = 0.0029
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1718 - 0.1697 = 0.0021
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0021 / 0.0029 = 0.7241
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.688%
(0.0029)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.617% | 0.4R | -0.268% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.617% | 0.4R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.356% | 0.8R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.799% | 1.1R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.799% | 1.1R | -0.285% | 0.2R | 6.3× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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