Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 136.68 VVV at 11.745$ per unit. Take profit: 11.8621 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6865 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 136.68 VVV at 11.745$ per unit. Take profit: 11.8621 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 11.6865 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 11.745$
Qty 136.6845 VVV
Size 1605.3594$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 11.8621 (+1%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 11.6865 (-0.5%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7338
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.23×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 12/08 11:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.18475 15m : 0.406441 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 10:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4856 | r1h: -1.238% · r4h: -1.584% · r1d: 2.00% · r3d: 2.54% · ema21_slope: 0.1772% · dist_ema21: -0.087% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5177 | rs_1h: -0.876% · rs_4h: -0.765% · rs_1d: 2.24% · rs_3d: 5.05% · beta_24h: 1.783 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2063 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.435 · trend: -27.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7495 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 40.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.226% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.349% | 0.7R | -0.358% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.349% | 0.7R | -0.869% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.349% | 0.7R | -1.848% | 3.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.349% | 0.7R | -2.120% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.260% | 2.5R | -2.120% | 4.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -3.70% | +0.17 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.47 | bear_medium | -0.96% | +0.67 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.35 | bear_low | -1.01% | +0.32 | 12/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.37 | range_low | -0.49% | -0.15 | 12/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.402×ATR | p43 | +0.138×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.965×ATR | p0 | +0.609×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.073×ATR | p34 | -0.062×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 4.698×ATR | p87 | -1.312×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63856.2
-0.00618909
63461
0.18475
63831.7
-0.00580749
63461
0.406441
64279.3
-0.013183
63432
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0.04
0.6667
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0.0882
0.55
0.45
1
5
1
0.4461
0.6646
5.6001
0.55
1.2037
2.1318
0.0882
0.7678
0.1753
0.64
0.142
0.6351
0.5894
0.8721
0.552
-3.74
4.6083
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | 11.74500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:34 | 11.73000000 | -0.128% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 11.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:10:00 | 11.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:55:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:35:00 | 11.964 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:50:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 12.045 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:30:00 | 11.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:55:00 | 11.992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 11.705 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 11.469 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 21:15:00 | 11.386 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 11.597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 02:30:00 | 11.508 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:45:00 | 12.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:30:00 | 11.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 11.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:45:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 11.705 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 11.551 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 12.311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 21:00:00 | 11.776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 11.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 11.771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 11.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 11.705 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.745 | 11.6865 | 11.8621 | 2 | 16.083 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6865 - 11.745 = -0.058499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.745 - 11.8621 = -0.1171
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1171 / -0.058499999999999 = 2.0017
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1605.3594 | 100 | 136.6845 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.058499999999999 = -136.75
Taille de position USD = -136.75 x 11.745 = -1606.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -136.75 avec un stoploss a 11.6865
Avec un position size USD de -1606.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -136.75 x -0.058499999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -136.75 x -0.1171 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6982 % | 140.17 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.745 | 11.6865 | 11.8621 | 2 | 16.083 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.6865 - 11.745 = -0.058499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.745 - 11.8621 = -0.1171
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1171 / -0.058499999999999 = 2.0017
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.349% | 0.7R | -0.358% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.349% | 0.7R | -0.869% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.349% | 0.7R | -1.848% | 3.7R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.349% | 0.7R | -2.120% | 4.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.260% | 2.5R | -2.120% | 4.3R | 0.6× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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