Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 810.1 CRV at 0.276$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3006 (8.95 %) & Stop Loss: 0.266 (3.59 %)
12 Aug 2026 at 12:07:44
hyperliquid
CRV
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
12 Aug 2026 12:07
→ 14:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2759$
Qty 810.097 CRV
Size 223.5058$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3006 (+8.95%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.266 (-3.59%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-3.59%
/ -8.02$
MAE -6.02%
MFE +0.58%
0.2R
expires
13 Aug 00:07
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67028)
#7 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 12:00
score du 12/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8455
Quality Score
0.612
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
16.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 12:00
12/08 12:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#7 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.36×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 12/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6124
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#7
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8455
Rank Norm SMA
0.9277
Calculé le
12/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6583 | r1h: 0.980% · r4h: -1.295% · r1d: 2.61% · r3d: 12.49% · ema21_slope: 0.1583% · dist_ema21: -0.184% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6840 | rs_1h: 0.707% · rs_4h: -0.214% · rs_1d: 2.72% · rs_3d: 15.08% · beta_24h: 2.405 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1752 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.990 · trend: -19.07% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7257 | ADX: 34.5 (trend) · Chop: 45.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.138% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.588%
(0.0099)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -2.595% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -3.414% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -4.382% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -4.382% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.580% | 0.2R | -6.020% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -9.692% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 46% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.67 | bear_high | -3.70% | +0.99 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.14% | +0.96 | 12/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.26 | bear_low | -1.09% | +0.16 | 12/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.51% | -0.15 | 12/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.794×ATR | p67 | +3.767×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 3.494×ATR | p55 | +1.127×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.399×ATR | p43 | -0.076×ATR | p5 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.839×ATR | p13 | -0.872×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9608
- reason: up_bo width=2.11×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.26602464
- tp_price: 0.3005884
- atr:
- score: 0.8407520910038
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T04:07:36.910785
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8407520910038
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2322
- obi_top10 : 0.1593
- micro_price : 0.27769229
- spread_pct : 0.036023
- mid_price : 0.27765
- bid_wall_price : 0.275
- bid_wall_size : 615779
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.292
- ask_wall_size : 409441
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2525
- obi_top5_std : 0.0228
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7222
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.272695
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.26051
- balance_zone_mid:
0.2666025
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786417200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786550400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1086
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8408
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786546800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.272695
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6053
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5546
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.00577859 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.6053
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5546
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:07 | 0.27590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:13 | 0.27590000 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:19 | 0.27722000 | +0.478% |
| 4 | 12:25 | 0.27722000 | +0.478% |
| 5 | 12:31 | 0.27722000 | +0.478% |
| 6 | 12:37 | 0.27527000 | -0.228% |
| 7 | 12:43 | 0.27527000 | -0.228% |
| 8 | 12:49 | 0.27297000 | -1.062% |
| 9 | 12:55 | 0.27297000 | -1.062% |
| 10 | 13:02 | 0.27297000 | -1.062% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7222ms
Confidence avant OB :
84%
→
96%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.232
avg 0.253
± 0.023
OBI Top 10
0.159
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2777
Micro Price
0.2777
Spread
0.0360%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2750
Size
615,779.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2920
Size
409,441.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2759 | 0.266 | 0.3006 | 2.49 | 0.3737 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2759
- Stop Loss: 0.266
- Take Profit: 0.3006
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.266 - 0.2759 = -0.0099
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2759 - 0.3006 = -0.0247
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0247 / -0.0099 = 2.4949
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 223.5058 | 100 | 810.097 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0099
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0099 = -808.08
Taille de position USD = -808.08 x 0.2759 = -222.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -808.08 avec un stoploss a 0.266
Avec un position size USD de -222.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -808.08 x -0.0099 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -808.08 x -0.0247 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position -808.08
- Taille de position USD -222.95
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4949
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.95 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.59 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -3.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5883 % | 100 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2759 | 0.266 | 0.3006 | 2.49 | 0.3737 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2759
- Stop Loss: 0.266
- Take Profit: 0.3006
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.266 - 0.2759 = -0.0099
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2759 - 0.3006 = -0.0247
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0247 / -0.0099 = 2.4949
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3006
[entry_price] => 0.2759
[stop_loss] => 0.26501
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 19:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3006
[entry_price] => 0.2759
[stop_loss] => 0.26402
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 19:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.588%
(0.0099)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -2.595% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -3.414% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -4.382% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -4.382% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.580% | 0.2R | -6.020% | 1.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.580% | 0.2R | -9.692% | 2.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.