Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 92028.07 MON at 0.022$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02214 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02188 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 92028.07 MON at 0.022$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02214 (0.77 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02188 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.02197$
Qty 92028.0686 MON
Size 2021.8567$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02214 (+0.77%)
TP $ 15.64$
SL 0.02188 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8.28$
RR 1.89
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6422
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.19×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.02×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.86×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 14:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.17237 15m : 0.265415 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5784 | r1h: -0.154% · r4h: 1.419% · r1d: 3.31% · r3d: 4.61% · ema21_slope: 0.0655% · dist_ema21: 1.440% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6399 | rs_1h: -0.130% · rs_4h: 1.987% · rs_1d: 3.49% · rs_3d: 7.23% · beta_24h: 0.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2532 | rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: 19.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5767 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.015% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -0.346% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -0.860% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.378% | 0.9R | -1.866% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -1.866% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -2.462% | 6.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -3.70% | -0.12 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.12% | +0.62 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.34 | bear_low | -1.13% | +0.34 | 12/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | -0.51% | +0.18 | 12/08 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.579×ATR | p0 | +0.505×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.08×ATR | p9 | +1.04×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.877×ATR | p50 | +1.469×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.68×ATR | p0 | +0.578×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63706.1
-0.00433423
63430
0.17237
63696.3
-0.004182
63430
0.265415
64241.6
-0.0126342
63430
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0.021447
187
0.6094
0.6384
0.2967
0.2143
0.3642
0.5959
0.5419
0.6812
0.41
0.3934
0.6356
0.5394
0.1245
0.0601
1
1.2031
1.6392
0.6
0.4
-1
27
1
0.5714
0.595
4.0153
0.6
0.5959
1.8094
1.6392
0.8355
0.257
0.32
0.0021
0.4373
0.5386
0.7366
0.5394
-5.7949
6.7867
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:17 | 0.02197000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:18 | 0.02191900 | -0.232% |
| 3 | 15:23 | 0.02190900 | -0.278% |
| 4 | 15:29 | 0.02190100 | -0.314% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 0.021756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 0.021727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:20:00 | 0.021946 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:40:00 | 0.021583 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 0.022025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:55:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:10:00 | 0.022032 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:20:00 | 0.022013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:15:00 | 0.021967 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.021383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 0.02143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.021694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 0.021447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 0.021562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 0.021779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:15:00 | 0.021967 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 0.021368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.02087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.023288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.021628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.021825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 0.022342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.02119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02197 | 0.02188 | 0.02214 | 1.89 | 0.02498 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02188 - 0.02197 = -9.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02197 - 0.02214 = -0.00017
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00017 / -9.0E-5 = 1.8889
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021.8567 | 100 | 92028.0686 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -9.0E-5 = -88888.89
Taille de position USD = -88888.89 x 0.02197 = -1952.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -88888.89 avec un stoploss a 0.02188
Avec un position size USD de -1952.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -88888.89 x -9.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -88888.89 x -0.00017 = 15.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.11$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.77 % | 15.64 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8.28 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.28 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4233 % | 103.34 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02197 | 0.02188 | 0.02214 | 1.89 | 0.02498 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02188 - 0.02197 = -9.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02197 - 0.02214 = -0.00017
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00017 / -9.0E-5 = 1.8889
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -0.346% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -0.860% | 2.1R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.378% | 0.9R | -1.866% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -1.866% | 4.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.378% | 0.9R | -2.462% | 6.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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