Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 81350.42 PUMP at 0.00271$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002467 (9.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002811 (3.61 %)
Short Trade on PUMP (BosPullback)
With 81350.42 PUMP at 0.00271$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002467 (9.07 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002811 (3.61 %)
Position
Entry 0.002713$
Qty 81350.4169 PUMP
Size 220.7037$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002467 (+9.07%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.002811 (-3.61%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4600
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.86×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 14:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 12/08 14:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5460 | r1h: 0.585% · r4h: 1.439% · r1d: 1.93% · r3d: 2.80% · ema21_slope: -0.0632% · dist_ema21: 0.751% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6388 | rs_1h: 0.609% · rs_4h: 2.008% · rs_1d: 2.12% · rs_3d: 5.42% · beta_24h: 0.974 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1715 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.835 · trend: -32.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4895 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 57.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.083% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.442% | 0.1R | -1.364% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.442% | 0.1R | -1.364% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.027% | 0.6R | -1.364% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.027% | 0.6R | -2.322% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.027% | 0.6R | -5.787% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.85% | +1.00 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.18% | +0.75 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.21 | bear_low | -1.16% | +0.10 | 12/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.18 | range_low | -0.53% | +0.14 | 12/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 29b | — | 6.505×ATR | p89 | +1.903×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 2.058×ATR | p10 | +0.374×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.492×ATR | p0 | -0.043×ATR | p2 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 3.015×ATR | p69 | +0.079×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.002806
146
0.4842
0.4391
0.3549
0.2224
0.4633
0.956
0.1473
0.5245
0.3718
0.2064
0.4594
0.6777
0.0157
0.008
0.6667
-0.0393
0.0187
0.55
0.45
-1
11
1
0.5552
0.3069
3.1498
0.5
0.956
3.0112
0.0187
0.2301
0.2146
0.1
-0.0804
0.477
0.4308
0.3035
0.6777
-4.4431
9.3438
1
1
1
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 08:00:00
[price] => 0.002467
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 14:00:00
[price] => 0.002748
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 15:00:00
[price] => 0.002639
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 19:00:00
[price] => 0.00274
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-09 21:00:00
[price] => 0.002632
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 00:00:00
[price] => 0.002804
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 02:00:00
[price] => 0.002672
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 06:00:00
[price] => 0.002893
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 08:00:00
[price] => 0.002734
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 09:00:00
[price] => 0.002849
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 12:00:00
[price] => 0.00268
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 19:00:00
[price] => 0.002863
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 00:00:00
[price] => 0.002727
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 06:00:00
[price] => 0.002957
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 17:00:00
[price] => 0.00267
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 20:00:00
[price] => 0.002803
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 22:00:00
[price] => 0.002701
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 03:00:00
[price] => 0.002814
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 07:00:00
[price] => 0.002632
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 15:00:00
[price] => 0.002806
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 18:30:00
[price] => 0.002735
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 19:30:00
[price] => 0.002687
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 20:00:00
[price] => 0.002803
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 22:30:00
[price] => 0.002701
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 00:00:00
[price] => 0.002763
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 00:15:00
[price] => 0.002705
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 02:15:00
[price] => 0.002793
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 02:45:00
[price] => 0.002755
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 03:15:00
[price] => 0.002814
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 04:00:00
[price] => 0.002764
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 04:15:00
[price] => 0.002808
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 07:30:00
[price] => 0.002632
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 08:15:00
[price] => 0.002677
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 09:00:00
[price] => 0.002633
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 09:45:00
[price] => 0.002721
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 12:00:00
[price] => 0.00268
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 12:45:00
[price] => 0.002757
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 14:30:00
[price] => 0.002691
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-12 15:45:00
[price] => 0.002806
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
0.002632
0.002806
0.002806
0.002632
0.002748
0.002632
0.00269
0.7338
0.002814
0.00273
0.002772
0.8418
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:52 | 0.00271300 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:58 | 0.00271300 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002713 | 0.002811 | 0.002467 | 2.51 | 0.004415 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002811 - 0.002713 = 9.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002713 - 0.002467 = 0.000246
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000246 / 9.8E-5 = 2.5102
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220.7037 | 100 | 81350.4169 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 9.8E-5 = 81632.65
Taille de position USD = 81632.65 x 0.002713 = 221.47
Donc, tu peux acheter 81632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.002811
Avec un position size USD de 221.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 81632.65 x 9.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 81632.65 x 0.000246 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.07 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.61 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -3.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.3494 % | 120.41 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002713 | 0.002811 | 0.002467 | 2.51 | 0.004415 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002811 - 0.002713 = 9.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002713 - 0.002467 = 0.000246
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000246 / 9.8E-5 = 2.5102
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.442% | 0.1R | -1.364% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.442% | 0.1R | -1.364% | 0.4R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.027% | 0.6R | -1.364% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.027% | 0.6R | -2.322% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.027% | 0.6R | -5.787% | 1.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.