Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.68 XMR at 395.12$ per unit. Take profit: 396.9623 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 394.1988 (0.23 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 8.68 XMR at 395.12$ per unit. Take profit: 396.9623 (0.47 %) & Stop Loss: 394.1988 (0.23 %)
Position
Entry 395.12$
Qty 8.6847 XMR
Size 3431.5068$ (margin 100$) (leverage 34)
Risk Setup
TP 396.9623 (+0.47%)
TP $ 16$
SL 394.1988 (-0.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5647
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.01×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.58×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.23×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.096271 15m : 0.271099 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5427 | r1h: -0.257% · r4h: -0.078% · r1d: 2.37% · r3d: 0.61% · ema21_slope: 0.1409% · dist_ema21: 0.526% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5423 | rs_1h: -0.206% · rs_4h: -0.211% · rs_1d: 2.24% · rs_3d: 3.28% · beta_24h: 0.674 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1112 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -1.410 · trend: -46.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6133 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.964% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.076% | 0.3R | -0.942% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.076% | 0.3R | -0.942% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.076% | 0.3R | -1.195% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.529% | 2.3R | -1.195% | 5.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.906% | 3.9R | -1.195% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.88 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.36 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.18% | +0.57 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.09 | bear_low | -1.16% | +0.42 | 12/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.23 | range_low | -0.53% | +0.07 | 12/08 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.195×ATR | p0 | +1.783×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.766×ATR | p32 | +0.702×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.605×ATR | p0 | +0.484×ATR | p27 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.932×ATR | p39 | -0.383×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63649.9
-0.00425641
63379
-0.096271
63667.3
-0.00452953
63379
0.271099
64225.1
-0.012956
63393
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394.12
194
0.7
0.5586
0.3915
0.2936
0.4717
0.252
0.4776
0.7367
0.6449
0.4572
0.6259
0.5724
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0.0565
1
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1.032
0.55
0.45
1
9
1
0.4128
0.2913
6.2453
0.65
0.252
1.5738
1.032
0.8159
0.2438
0.46
-0.0282
0.5975
0.6004
0.8327
0.5724
-5.2427
7.0169
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 11:50:00 | 400.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:45:00 | 394.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:35:00 | 397.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:45:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:35:00 | 394.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:50:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:30:00 | 395.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:45:00 | 398.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 395.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:55:00 | 394.58 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 382.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 378.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 08:30:00 | 396.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:45:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 10:30:00 | 394.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 400.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:45:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:45:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:45:00 | 398.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:45:00 | 394.58 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 02:00:00 | 403.94 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 392.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 401.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 391.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 401.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 399.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 375.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 400.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 13:00:00 | 394.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 400.87 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.12 | 394.1988 | 396.9623 | 2 | 515.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 394.1988 - 395.12 = -0.9212
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.12 - 396.9623 = -1.8423
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.8423 / -0.9212 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3431.5068 | 100 | 8.6847 | 34.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.9212 = -8.68
Taille de position USD = -8.68 x 395.12 = -3429.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.68 avec un stoploss a 394.1988
Avec un position size USD de -3429.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.68 x -0.9212 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.68 x -1.8423 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.47 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2683 % | 115.1 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.12 | 394.1988 | 396.9623 | 2 | 515.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 394.1988 - 395.12 = -0.9212
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.12 - 396.9623 = -1.8423
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.8423 / -0.9212 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.076% | 0.3R | -0.942% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.076% | 0.3R | -0.942% | 4.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.076% | 0.3R | -1.195% | 5.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.529% | 2.3R | -1.195% | 5.1R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.906% | 3.9R | -1.195% | 5.1R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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