Long Trade on GRASS (CatchTheWave)
With 5663.4 GRASS at 0.313$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3154 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3112 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on GRASS (CatchTheWave)
With 5663.4 GRASS at 0.313$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3154 (0.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3112 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 0.3126$
Qty 5663.3961 GRASS
Size 1770.321$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3154 (+0.9%)
TP $ 15.86$
SL 0.3112 (-0.45%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9351
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.74×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.45×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.270179 15m : 0.141868 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 14:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5953 | r1h: -0.022% · r4h: -1.457% · r1d: 6.07% · r3d: 5.44% · ema21_slope: 0.2279% · dist_ema21: 1.006% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6099 | rs_1h: 0.028% · rs_4h: -1.590% · rs_1d: 5.94% · rs_3d: 8.11% · beta_24h: 0.577 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3054 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.254 · trend: 41.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7314 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.655% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.403% | 0.9R | -1.305% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.403% | 0.9R | -1.305% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.403% | 0.9R | -2.598% | 5.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.403% | 0.9R | -2.825% | 6.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.442% | 1.0R | -2.825% | 6.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -4.85% | -0.78 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.18% | +0.59 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_low | -1.16% | +0.37 | 12/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.51% | +0.09 | 12/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 40b | — | 11.243×ATR | p100 | -0.298×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 2.632×ATR | p16 | +0.913×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.021×ATR | p31 | +0.511×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.579×ATR | p67 | -0.461×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63637.6
-0.00428432
63365
0.270179
63638.1
-0.00429204
63365
0.141868
64224.5
-0.0133682
63366
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-2.1444
6.5249
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:16 | 0.31259000 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 15:27 | 0.31105000 | -0.496% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 13:30:00 | 0.31759 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:05:00 | 0.31224 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:15:00 | 0.32564 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 15:30:00 | 0.31787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:15:00 | 0.32501 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:45:00 | 0.31457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:10:00 | 0.31834 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:05:00 | 0.3142 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:35:00 | 0.31611 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:15:00 | 0.31234 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 21:00:00 | 0.30275 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 00:15:00 | 0.3018 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:45:00 | 0.30319 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 0.31549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:15:00 | 0.29993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 0.31468 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 0.32121 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.31224 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:15:00 | 0.32564 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:15:00 | 0.31234 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 16:00:00 | 0.30505 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 0.30209 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.28311 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.31009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.28966 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 0.30255 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.29129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 0.30816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 0.29993 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 0.32564 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3126 | 0.3112 | 0.3154 | 2 | 0.3465 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3112 - 0.3126 = -0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3126 - 0.3154 = -0.0028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0028 / -0.0014 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1770.321 | 100 | 5663.3961 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0014 = -5714.29
Taille de position USD = -5714.29 x 0.3126 = -1786.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -5714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.3112
Avec un position size USD de -1786.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0014 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5714.29 x -0.0028 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.9 % | 15.86 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6782 % | 151.42 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3126 | 0.3112 | 0.3154 | 2 | 0.3465 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3112 - 0.3126 = -0.0014
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3126 - 0.3154 = -0.0028
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0028 / -0.0014 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.403% | 0.9R | -1.305% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.403% | 0.9R | -1.305% | 2.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.403% | 0.9R | -2.598% | 5.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.403% | 0.9R | -2.825% | 6.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.442% | 1.0R | -2.825% | 6.3R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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