Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 383.54 LINK at 8.723$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7642 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7016 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 383.54 LINK at 8.723$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7642 (0.48 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7016 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 8.7225$
Qty 383.5418 LINK
Size 3345.4437$ (margin 100$) (leverage 33)
Risk Setup
TP 8.7642 (+0.48%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 8.7016 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7821
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.95×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.491033 15m : 0.526663 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 12/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5955 | r1h: 0.086% · r4h: 0.588% · r1d: 2.41% · r3d: 5.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0778% · dist_ema21: 0.336% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6108 | rs_1h: 0.136% · rs_4h: 0.456% · rs_1d: 2.28% · rs_3d: 8.06% · beta_24h: 1.234 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1459 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.892 · trend: -45.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6212 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.385% | 1.6R | -0.097% | 0.4R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 2.6R | -1.043% | 4.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.627% | 2.6R | -1.094% | 4.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.627% | 2.6R | -1.242% | 5.2R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.997% | 4.2R | -1.242% | 5.2R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.55 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.83 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.26% | +0.65 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_low | -1.22% | -0.02 | 12/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
37%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.46% | +0.01 | 12/08 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.063×ATR | p7 | +1.552×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 4.845×ATR | p77 | +1.493×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0.681×ATR | p2 | -0.168×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0.61×ATR | p0 | -1.052×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63629.4
-0.0042812
63357
0.491033
63639.3
-0.00336782
63425
0.526663
64224.5
-0.0133682
63366
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0.1399
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1.7358
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1
7
1
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0.717
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3.0945
1.7358
0.3875
0.2684
0.16
-0.2342
0.4453
0.4649
0.7237
0.7894
-2.7479
10.2983
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 12:40:00 | 8.806 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 13:55:00 | 8.8329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:40:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:35:00 | 8.7875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:45:00 | 8.7276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:05:00 | 8.7764 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:25:00 | 8.7451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:10:00 | 8.7868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:20:00 | 8.756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 19:25:00 | 8.7225 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:45:00 | 8.7395 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:45:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:30:00 | 8.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:30:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:30:00 | 8.7875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:45:00 | 8.7276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 8.7868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:15:00 | 8.7324 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 8.1617 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 8.3696 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 8.2075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 8.4581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 8.7117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7225 | 8.7016 | 8.7642 | 2 | 11.669 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7016 - 8.7225 = -0.020900000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7225 - 8.7642 = -0.041700000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.041700000000001 / -0.020900000000001 = 1.9952
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3345.4437 | 100 | 383.5418 | 33.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.020900000000001 = -382.78
Taille de position USD = -382.78 x 8.7225 = -3338.8
Donc, tu peux acheter -382.78 avec un stoploss a 8.7016
Avec un position size USD de -3338.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -382.78 x -0.020900000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -382.78 x -0.041700000000001 = 15.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0974 % | 40.65 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7225 | 8.7016 | 8.7642 | 2 | 11.669 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7016 - 8.7225 = -0.020900000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.7225 - 8.7642 = -0.041700000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.041700000000001 / -0.020900000000001 = 1.9952
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.385% | 1.6R | -0.097% | 0.4R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.627% | 2.6R | -1.043% | 4.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.627% | 2.6R | -1.094% | 4.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.627% | 2.6R | -1.242% | 5.2R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.997% | 4.2R | -1.242% | 5.2R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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