Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1136.02 NEAR at 1.634$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6484 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6273 (0.43 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1136.02 NEAR at 1.634$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6484 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6273 (0.43 %)
Position
Entry 1.6343$
Qty 1136.0151 NEAR
Size 1856.5895$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6484 (+0.86%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 1.6273 (-0.43%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7591
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.45×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.95×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 15:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.471296 15m : 0.31702 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 12/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 12/08 15:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6216 | r1h: 0.036% · r4h: 2.027% · r1d: 5.48% · r3d: 0.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0779% · dist_ema21: 0.892% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6378 | rs_1h: 0.087% · rs_4h: 1.895% · rs_1d: 5.36% · rs_3d: 3.33% · beta_24h: 1.824 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3002 | rvol_20: 0.82× · zscore_50: 0.067 · trend: -16.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5986 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.126% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.734% | 1.7R | -0.122% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.734% | 1.7R | -0.704% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.734% | 1.7R | -1.236% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.309% | 3.1R | -1.236% | 2.9R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.582% | 6.0R | -1.236% | 2.9R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -4.85% | -0.78 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.62 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.26% | +0.40 | 12/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
43%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.44 | bear_low | -1.22% | +0.14 | 12/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.34 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.11 | 12/08 15:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 5.451×ATR | p75 | -0.705×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.12×ATR | p0 | +0.539×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.517×ATR | p2 | +0.141×ATR | p8 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.943×ATR | p18 | -0.509×ATR | p27 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63628
-0.00532884
63289
0.471296
63639.3
-0.00336782
63425
0.31702
64224.5
-0.0133682
63366
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194
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0.5885
0.566
0.6936
0.0324
0.0368
1
0.1165
0.7119
0.5
0.5
1
14
1
0.4748
0.3413
7.7585
0.55
0.4973
3.8583
0.7119
0.5468
0.2515
0.54
0.0968
0.5488
0.5034
0.6138
0.6936
-2.5029
5.6651
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:27 | 1.63430000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:39 | 1.63420000 | -0.006% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 11:35:00 | 1.6411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:10:00 | 1.6428 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 1.6607 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:40:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:15:00 | 1.6416 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 1.6286 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:25:00 | 1.6361 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:05:00 | 1.6556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:10:00 | 1.6477 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 19:10:00 | 1.6322 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 04:30:00 | 1.6467 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:30:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:30:00 | 1.6362 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 1.633 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 1.6656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 11:30:00 | 1.6411 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 1.6607 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:30:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 1.6556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:00:00 | 1.6322 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 1.6064 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 1.6096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 1.649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 1.5955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 1.6681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 1.5903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6343 | 1.6273 | 1.6484 | 2.01 | 1.9832 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6273 - 1.6343 = -0.0070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6343 - 1.6484 = -0.0141
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0141 / -0.0070000000000001 = 2.0143
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1856.5895 | 100 | 1136.0151 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0070000000000001 = -1142.86
Taille de position USD = -1142.86 x 1.6343 = -1867.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -1142.86 avec un stoploss a 1.6273
Avec un position size USD de -1867.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1142.86 x -0.0070000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1142.86 x -0.0141 = 16.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.11$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5079 % | 118.59 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6343 | 1.6273 | 1.6484 | 2.01 | 1.9832 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6273 - 1.6343 = -0.0070000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6343 - 1.6484 = -0.0141
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0141 / -0.0070000000000001 = 2.0143
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.734% | 1.7R | -0.122% | 0.3R | 6.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.734% | 1.7R | -0.704% | 1.6R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.734% | 1.7R | -1.236% | 2.9R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.309% | 3.1R | -1.236% | 2.9R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.582% | 6.0R | -1.236% | 2.9R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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