Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 271.96 LINK at 8.65$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7083 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 8.6201 (0.34 %)
Long Trade on LINK (CatchTheWave)
With 271.96 LINK at 8.65$ per unit. Take profit: 8.7083 (0.68 %) & Stop Loss: 8.6201 (0.34 %)
Position
Entry 8.6495$
Qty 271.9648 LINK
Size 2352.3597$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 8.7083 (+0.68%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 8.6201 (-0.34%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7124
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.52×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.21×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.77×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 18:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.523265 15m : 0.526177 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5013 | r1h: -1.026% · r4h: -1.076% · r1d: -1.08% · r3d: 3.99% · ema21_slope: 0.0471% · dist_ema21: -0.753% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4806 | rs_1h: -0.919% · rs_4h: -1.173% · rs_1d: -0.89% · rs_3d: 6.54% · beta_24h: 1.191 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4053 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 0.446 · trend: -25.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6334 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.468% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.468% | 1.4R | -0.049% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.674% | 2.0R | -0.390% | 1.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.850% | 5.4R | -0.408% | 1.2R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.850% | 5.4R | -0.408% | 1.2R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.55 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.83 | bear_medium | -1.03% | +0.62 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_low | -0.95% | -0.09 | 12/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_low_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.27% | -0.08 | 12/08 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 3.063×ATR | p7 | +1.552×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 4.953×ATR | p80 | +1.357×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.707×ATR | p20 | -0.96×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 3.187×ATR | p66 | -2.233×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63545.6
-0.00130034
63463
0.523265
63650.3
-0.00294329
63463
0.526177
64192.5
-0.0105088
63518
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 12:00:00
[1] => 8.3696
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 18:00:00
[1] => 8.2075
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 01:00:00
[1] => 8.4581
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 09:00:00
[1] => 8.7117
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 8.4995
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 01:00:00
[1] => 8.8224
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:00:00
[1] => 8.6623
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 12:00:00
[1] => 8.8874
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00
[1] => 8.6913
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:00:00
[1] => 8.6271
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4169048315593
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52740781954537
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.74416663768821
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:30:00
[1] => 8.6623
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 10:30:00
[1] => 8.87
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 12:30:00
[1] => 8.8874
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:30:00
[1] => 8.6913
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 15:30:00
[1] => 8.7875
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:45:00
[1] => 8.7276
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 18:00:00
[1] => 8.7868
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 19:45:00
[1] => 8.714
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:45:00
[1] => 8.7772
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:30:00
[1] => 8.6271
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4549058925398
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.25964692654541
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7398662354673
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:05:00
[1] => 8.7764
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:25:00
[1] => 8.7451
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 18:10:00
[1] => 8.7868
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 18:20:00
[1] => 8.756
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 19:50:00
[1] => 8.714
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:05:00
[1] => 8.7561
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:20:00
[1] => 8.7243
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:45:00
[1] => 8.7772
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:30:00
[1] => 8.6271
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 22:00:00
[1] => 8.6292
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4549058925398
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.23524776340795
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.024341899363638
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
8.7868
196
0.6526
0.4866
0.4315
0.2357
0.5917
0.487
0.4162
0.7362
0.7392
0.5525
0.5204
0.7081
-0.0085
0.0623
0.6667
-0.9835
0.4545
0.75
0.25
1
9
1
0.5286
0.2989
3.552
0.6
0.487
1.4032
0.4545
0.7878
0.2452
0.6
-0.0112
0.4932
0.4963
0.5746
0.7081
-3.0961
7.5111
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 17:05:00 | 8.7764 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:25:00 | 8.7451 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:10:00 | 8.7868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 18:20:00 | 8.756 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 19:50:00 | 8.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:05:00 | 8.7561 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 20:20:00 | 8.7243 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:45:00 | 8.7772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 8.6271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 8.6292 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 10:30:00 | 8.87 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 12:30:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:30:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:30:00 | 8.7875 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:45:00 | 8.7276 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 8.7868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 8.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:45:00 | 8.7772 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 8.6271 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 8.3696 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 8.2075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 8.4581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 8.7117 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 8.4995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 8.8224 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 8.6623 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 8.8874 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 8.6913 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 8.6271 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6495 | 8.6201 | 8.7083 | 2 | 11.642 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.6201 - 8.6495 = -0.029399999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.6495 - 8.7083 = -0.0588
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0588 / -0.029399999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2352.3597 | 100 | 271.9648 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.029399999999999 = -272.11
Taille de position USD = -272.11 x 8.6495 = -2353.62
Donc, tu peux acheter -272.11 avec un stoploss a 8.6201
Avec un position size USD de -2353.62$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -272.11 x -0.029399999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -272.11 x -0.0588 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.68 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3896 % | 114.62 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.6495 | 8.6201 | 8.7083 | 2 | 11.642 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.6201 - 8.6495 = -0.029399999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.6495 - 8.7083 = -0.0588
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0588 / -0.029399999999999 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.7083
[entry_price] => 8.6495
[stop_loss] => 8.61716
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 01:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.7083
[entry_price] => 8.6495
[stop_loss] => 8.61422
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 02:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.7083
[entry_price] => 8.6495
[stop_loss] => 8.61128
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 03:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.7083
[entry_price] => 8.6495
[stop_loss] => 8.6054
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 03:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.468% | 1.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.468% | 1.4R | -0.049% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.674% | 2.0R | -0.390% | 1.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.850% | 5.4R | -0.408% | 1.2R | 4.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.850% | 5.4R | -0.408% | 1.2R | 4.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.