Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 104725.75 MON at 0.0216$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02175 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02152 (0.37 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 104725.75 MON at 0.0216$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02175 (0.69 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02152 (0.37 %)
Position
Entry 0.0216$
Qty 104725.7494 MON
Size 2262.0762$ (margin 100$) (leverage 23)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02175 (+0.69%)
TP $ 15.71$
SL 0.02152 (-0.37%)
SL $ 8.38$
RR 1.87
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7424
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.05×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.82×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.59×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 12/08 18:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.242547 15m : 0.279261 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 17:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5322 | r1h: 0.147% · r4h: -1.066% · r1d: 1.99% · r3d: 3.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0711% · dist_ema21: 0.073% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5615 | rs_1h: 0.254% · rs_4h: -1.163% · rs_1d: 2.18% · rs_3d: 5.75% · beta_24h: 0.857 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1743 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.386 · trend: -52.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5111 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.924% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.634% | 1.7R | -0.162% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.282% | 3.5R | -0.162% | 0.4R | 7.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.732% | 4.7R | -0.162% | 0.4R | 10.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.732% | 4.7R | -0.792% | 2.1R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.732% | 4.7R | -0.792% | 2.1R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.85% | +0.10 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -1.03% | +0.47 | 12/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.33 | bear_low | -0.95% | +0.20 | 12/08 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.24% | -0.15 | 12/08 17:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.722×ATR | p0 | +0.677×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.363×ATR | p0 | +0.378×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.288×ATR | p34 | +0.075×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.619×ATR | p0 | -0.716×ATR | p42 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63545.6
-0.00130034
63463
-0.242547
63650.3
-0.00294329
63463
0.279261
64180.9
-0.0112026
63462
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 23:00:00
[1] => 0.02087
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 11:00:00
[1] => 0.023288
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 0.021628
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:00:00
[1] => 0.021825
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 10:00:00
[1] => 0.022342
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 0.02119
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.021826
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:00:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:00:00
[1] => 0.021679
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0693989316335
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.6319479680797
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7584298168735
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 00:00:00
[1] => 0.021383
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 02:00:00
[1] => 0.02143
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.021826
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 05:00:00
[1] => 0.021694
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 06:30:00
[1] => 0.021447
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 09:00:00
[1] => 0.021562
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 09:30:00
[1] => 0.021779
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:45:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 22:00:00
[1] => 0.02156
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0390088432015
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.18552875695734
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 22
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3256029684601
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 13:50:00
[1] => 0.021603
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:15:00
[1] => 0.022025
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:55:00
[1] => 0.021553
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 15:10:00
[1] => 0.022032
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.022277
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:20:00
[1] => 0.022013
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:15:00
[1] => 0.021781
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 20:30:00
[1] => 0.021855
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 21:45:00
[1] => 0.021822
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 22:00:00
[1] => 0.02156
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0173219686555
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.18552875695734
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2152133580705
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.022277
194
0.7234
0.4799
0.3417
0.2318
0.4317
1
0.246
0.5906
0.6969
0.4679
0.5688
0.4474
0.0551
0.0392
1
0.0614
0.48
0.65
0.35
1
5
1
0.5364
0.3166
3.6221
0.55
2.19
4.2502
0.48
0.3475
0.26
0.28
0.1498
0.4711
0.5371
0.8494
0.4474
-7.6138
6.1655
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:06 | 0.02160000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:12 | 0.02159200 | -0.037% |
| 3 | 18:19 | 0.02158700 | -0.06% |
| 4 | 18:25 | 0.02158500 | -0.069% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 13:50:00 | 0.021603 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 0.022025 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:55:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:10:00 | 0.022032 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 17:20:00 | 0.022013 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:15:00 | 0.021781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 0.021855 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:45:00 | 0.021822 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.02156 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.021383 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 0.02143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 0.021694 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:30:00 | 0.021447 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 0.021562 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:30:00 | 0.021779 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:45:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:30:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.02156 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.02087 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 0.023288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 0.021628 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 0.021825 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 0.022342 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.02119 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.021826 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 0.021553 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 16:00:00 | 0.022277 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.021679 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0216 | 0.02152 | 0.02175 | 1.87 | 0.02552 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02152 - 0.0216 = -8.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0216 - 0.02175 = -0.00015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00015 / -8.0E-5 = 1.875
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2262.0762 | 100 | 104725.7494 | 23.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -8.0E-5 = -100000
Taille de position USD = -100000 x 0.0216 = -2160
Donc, tu peux acheter -100000 avec un stoploss a 0.02152
Avec un position size USD de -2160$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -100000 x -8.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -100000 x -0.00015 = 15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 15.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8.38 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.71 $ | 0.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.162 % | 43.74 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0216 | 0.02152 | 0.02175 | 1.87 | 0.02552 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02152 - 0.0216 = -8.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0216 - 0.02175 = -0.00015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00015 / -8.0E-5 = 1.875
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02176
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 23:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0218
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 23:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02184
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-12 23:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02188
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 00:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02192
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 00:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02196
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 00:50:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.022
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02204
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02208
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02212
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.02216
[stop_loss] => 0.02152
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 02:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.634% | 1.7R | -0.162% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.282% | 3.5R | -0.162% | 0.4R | 7.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.732% | 4.7R | -0.162% | 0.4R | 10.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.732% | 4.7R | -0.792% | 2.1R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.732% | 4.7R | -0.792% | 2.1R | 2.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.