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Short Trade on kPEPE

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12 Aug 2026 at 20:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_score)

With 98243.89 kPEPE at 0.00267$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002754 (3.03 %)

kPEPE SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 20:10 → 23:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002673$

Qty 98243.8905 kPEPE

Size 262.6059$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 262.61$

SL 0.002754 (-3.03%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.38% / -3.64$ MAE -1.57% MFE +0.04% 0.0R expires 12 Aug 23:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 67427)
#5 / 51 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4741

Quality Score
0.564
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 20:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#5 / 51 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 51 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.10×ATR
1d clear 2.60×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

12/08 20:01

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

12/08 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

12/08 19:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational bear transition — +1
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 12/08 20:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5639
Score SMA
0.4995
Rank
#5 / 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4741
Rank Norm SMA
0.3570
Calculé le
12/08/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2564 r1h: -0.336% · r4h: -3.920% · r1d: -5.88% · r3d: -7.38% · ema21_slope: -0.1684% · dist_ema21: -3.962%
Force Relative 25% 0.2919 rs_1h: -0.325% · rs_4h: -3.902% · rs_1d: -5.64% · rs_3d: -5.13% · beta_24h: 1.953
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 7.13× · zscore_50: 5.511 · trend: 233.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7598 ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 9.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.077% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.030% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.636% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.636% 0.2R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.037% 0.0R -1.571% 0.5R 0.0× 36
4h +0.037% 0.0R -2.170% 0.7R 0.0× 48
8h +0.037% 0.0R -2.207% 0.7R 0.0× 96
12h +0.037% 0.0R -2.207% 0.7R 0.0× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.01
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.69 bear_high -4.85% +0.27 11/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high
45%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.1ATR — 0.69 bear_medium_confirmed -1.28% -0.43 12/08 16:00
1h ↓ down range range strong fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
45%
choppy 51% late — — 0.53 bear_low -1.08% -0.52 12/08 19:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_medium_confirmed
63%
ranging_calm 49% late — — — range_low -0.38% -0.39 12/08 19:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 16b — 2.485×ATR p0 -0.338×ATR p19
4h ↓ down late 5b — 3.664×ATR p56 -2.999×ATR p99
1h ↓ down late 11b — 6.606×ATR p98 -3.773×ATR p100
15m ↑ up late 1b — 2.706×ATR p56 -3.07×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00275443
  2. atr: 2.714E-5
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-13T03:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 49
  2. total: 52
  3. score: 0.2564
  4. confidence: 0.941

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002673 0.002754 0.003626
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002673
  • Stop Loss: 0.002754
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002754 - 0.002673 = 8.1E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002673 - = 0.002673

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002673 / 8.1E-5 = 33

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
262.6059 100 98243.8905 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 8.1E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 8.1E-5 = 98765.43

Taille de position USD = 98765.43 x 0.002673 = 264

Donc, tu peux acheter 98765.43 avec un stoploss a 0.002754

Avec un position size USD de 264$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 98765.43 x 8.1E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 98765.43 x 0.002673 = 264

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 264$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 98765.43
  • Taille de position USD 264
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 264
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 33

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 262.61 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.03 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-3.64 $ -1.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5713 % 51.85 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002673 0.002754 0.003626
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002673
  • Stop Loss: 0.002754
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002754 - 0.002673 = 8.1E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002673 - = 0.002673

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002673 / 8.1E-5 = 33

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.030% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.636% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -0.636% 0.2R 0.0× 24
3h ★ +0.037% 0.0R -1.571% 0.5R 0.0× 36
4h +0.037% 0.0R -2.170% 0.7R 0.0× 48
8h +0.037% 0.0R -2.207% 0.7R 0.0× 96
12h +0.037% 0.0R -2.207% 0.7R 0.0× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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