Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 84042.44 PUMP at 0.00282$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003063 (8.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00273 (3.36 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 02:11:52
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 02:11
→ 14:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002825$
Qty 84042.4414 PUMP
Size 237.4199$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003063 (+8.42%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.00273 (-3.36%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+0.64%
/ +1.51$
MAE -2.83%
MFE +4.18%
1.2R
expires
13 Aug 14:11
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67763)
#12 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 02:00
score du 13/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5693
Quality Score
0.545
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
24.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 02:02
13/08 02:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#12 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.39×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5454
Score SMA
0.5031
Rank
#12
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5693
Rank Norm SMA
0.4175
Calculé le
13/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6363 | r1h: 1.190% · r4h: 2.409% · r1d: 3.20% · r3d: -1.79% · ema21_slope: 0.0375% · dist_ema21: 2.448% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6077 | rs_1h: 0.816% · rs_4h: 1.671% · rs_1d: 3.07% · rs_3d: 0.06% · beta_24h: 1.456 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1771 | rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.632 · trend: -58.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4477 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.759% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.363%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.053% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.053% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.230% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.885% | 0.3R | -2.832% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.177% | 1.2R | -2.832% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.912% | 1.8R | -2.832% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.58% | +1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.40 | range_medium | -0.51% | +0.51 | 13/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | -0.22% | +0.38 | 13/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.17 | range_low | +0.39% | +0.18 | 13/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 7.01×ATR | p89 | +1.866×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 1.655×ATR | p0 | +0.762×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.999×ATR | p65 | +1.499×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.074×ATR | p70 | +1.814×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8943
- reason: up_bo width=2.74×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00272981
- tp_price: 0.00306297
- atr:
- score: 0.89431147701793
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T18:11:44.931208
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.89431147701793
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0167
- obi_top10 : -0.0236
- micro_price : 0.00281261
- spread_pct : 0.035562
- mid_price : 0.0028125
- bid_wall_price : 0.0028
- bid_wall_size : 73105261.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00282
- ask_wall_size : 70645336.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0103
- obi_top5_std : 0.0237
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6995
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002806
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002664
- balance_zone_mid:
0.002735
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786467600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786600800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7378
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8943
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786597200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002806
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8947
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3663
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.187E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.8947
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3663
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:11 | 0.00282500 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:18 | 0.00282500 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6995ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.017
avg 0.010
± 0.024
OBI Top 10
-0.024
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0028
Micro Price
0.0028
Spread
0.0356%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0028
Size
73,105,261.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0028
Size
70,645,336.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002825 | 0.00273 | 0.003063 | 2.51 | 0.0044 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002825
- Stop Loss: 0.00273
- Take Profit: 0.003063
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00273 - 0.002825 = -9.5E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002825 - 0.003063 = -0.000238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000238 / -9.5E-5 = 2.5053
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237.4199 | 100 | 84042.4414 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.5E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -9.5E-5 = -84210.53
Taille de position USD = -84210.53 x 0.002825 = -237.89
Donc, tu peux acheter -84210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.00273
Avec un position size USD de -237.89$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -84210.53 x -9.5E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -84210.53 x -0.000238 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -84210.53
- Taille de position USD -237.89
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5053
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.42 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.36 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.51 $ | 0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8319 % | 84.21 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002825 | 0.00273 | 0.003063 | 2.51 | 0.0044 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002825
- Stop Loss: 0.00273
- Take Profit: 0.003063
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00273 - 0.002825 = -9.5E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002825 - 0.003063 = -0.000238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000238 / -9.5E-5 = 2.5053
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.363%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.053% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.053% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.230% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.885% | 0.3R | -2.832% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.177% | 1.2R | -2.832% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.912% | 1.8R | -2.832% | 0.8R | 2.1× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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