Short Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 2.69 XMR at 395.96$ per unit. Take profit: 390.76 (1.31 %) & Stop Loss: 398.9386 (0.75 %)
Short Trade on XMR (BosPullback)
With 2.69 XMR at 395.96$ per unit. Take profit: 390.76 (1.31 %) & Stop Loss: 398.9386 (0.75 %)
Position
Entry 395.96$
Qty 2.6858 XMR
Size 1063.481$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 390.76 (+1.31%)
TP $ 13.97$
SL 398.9386 (-0.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.75
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5355
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.65×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 13/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 13/08 02:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5021 | r1h: -0.217% · r4h: -0.177% · r1d: 0.79% · r3d: -0.10% · ema21_slope: 0.0127% · dist_ema21: 0.138% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4791 | rs_1h: -0.591% · rs_4h: -0.915% · rs_1d: 0.66% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: 0.208 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2126 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: -0.669 · trend: -52.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4003 | ADX: 14.3 (weak) · Chop: 65.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.802% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.768% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.404% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.286% | 4.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.354% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.159% | 0.2R | -3.354% | 4.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.69 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.55% | +0.12 | 13/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.11 | range_low | -0.48% | +0.06 | 13/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.25 | range_low | +0.22% | -0.05 | 13/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.388×ATR | p0 | +1.6×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.635×ATR | p29 | +0.335×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.855×ATR | p0 | +0.417×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.38×ATR | p19 | +0.144×ATR | p6 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
398.7
146
0.5857
0.5383
0.3735
0.2536
0.4717
0.7927
0.2897
0.5224
0.3672
0.048
0.4717
0.5227
0.0681
0.0465
1
0.3723
0.8817
0.45
0.55
-1
9
1
0.4928
0.4403
2.8154
0.65
0.7927
2.2318
0.8817
0.3852
0.2338
0.08
-0.3689
0.4445
0.5295
0
0.5227
-6.8938
7.5501
1
0
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390.4
398.7
398.7
390.4
391.12
390.4
390.76
0.4575
400.87
394.12
397.495
0.7615
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:52 | 395.96000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:58 | 395.96000000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.96 | 398.9386 | 390.76 | 1.75 | 496.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 398.9386 - 395.96 = 2.9786
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.96 - 390.76 = 5.2
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.2 / 2.9786 = 1.7458
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1063.481 | 100 | 2.6858 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.9786 = 2.69
Taille de position USD = 2.69 x 395.96 = 1065.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.69 avec un stoploss a 398.9386
Avec un position size USD de 1065.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.69 x 2.9786 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.69 x 5.2 = 13.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 13.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.31 % | 13.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7678 % | 102.07 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395.96 | 398.9386 | 390.76 | 1.75 | 496.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 398.9386 - 395.96 = 2.9786
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 395.96 - 390.76 = 5.2
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.2 / 2.9786 = 1.7458
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.768% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.404% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.286% | 4.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.354% | 4.5R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.159% | 0.2R | -3.354% | 4.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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