Short Trade on ADA (CatchTheWave)
With 16909.39 ADA at 0.186$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1847 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1861 (0.22 %)
Short Trade on ADA (CatchTheWave)
With 16909.39 ADA at 0.186$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1847 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1861 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 0.1857$
Qty 16909.3868 ADA
Size 3139.5659$ (margin 100$) (leverage 31)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1847 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16.91$
SL 0.1861 (-0.22%)
SL $ 6.76$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2225
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.78×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.73×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 04:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.390671 15m : 0.582339 |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 13/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4646 | r1h: 0.489% · r4h: 0.663% · r1d: 0.01% · r3d: -6.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0423% · dist_ema21: 0.779% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4936 | rs_1h: 0.593% · rs_4h: 0.314% · rs_1d: -0.04% · rs_3d: -4.46% · beta_24h: 1.133 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1384 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.924 · trend: -50.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5867 | ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 52.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.735% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.393% | 1.8R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.393% | 1.8R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.524% | 7.1R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.923% | 8.9R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 4.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.930% | 13.6R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.84 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.57 | range_medium | -0.52% | -0.37 | 13/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.24 | range_low | -0.30% | +0.03 | 13/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | — | range_low | +0.28% | +0.12 | 13/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.907×ATR | p25 | +0.113×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 8.625×ATR | p97 | -1.353×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.919×ATR | p62 | +1.102×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 1.988×ATR | p17 | +2.24×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63680.8
0.00265678
63850
0.390671
63656
0.00304615
63850
0.582339
64058.4
-0.0033483
63844
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0.7483
1.5602
-0.4002
0.6677
0.1961
0.4
0.099
0.5641
0.4696
0.5177
0.2292
-11.6538
3.4659
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 01:15:00 | 0.18212 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 01:25:00 | 0.18123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 02:10:00 | 0.18118 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 0.1842 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:05:00 | 0.18295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:55:00 | 0.18504 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:25:00 | 0.184 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:45:00 | 0.18462 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:20:00 | 0.18387 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 0.18578 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 16:45:00 | 0.1815 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:30:00 | 0.18368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:15:00 | 0.18046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:15:00 | 0.18332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:00:00 | 0.18118 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 0.1842 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.18295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:45:00 | 0.18504 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:15:00 | 0.18387 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 0.18578 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 12:00:00 | 0.19576 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 21:00:00 | 0.19935 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 0.19298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 07:00:00 | 0.19927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 14:00:00 | 0.19706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 0.18701 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.18358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 0.18828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.18046 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.18518 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1857 | 0.1861 | 0.1847 | 2.5 | 0.2186 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1861 - 0.1857 = 0.00039999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1857 - 0.1847 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.00039999999999998 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3139.5659 | 100 | 16909.3868 | 31.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00039999999999998 = 20000
Taille de position USD = 20000 x 0.1857 = 3714
Donc, tu peux acheter 20000 avec un stoploss a 0.1861
Avec un position size USD de 3714$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 20000 x 0.00039999999999998 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 20000 x 0.001 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16.91 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 6.76 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.76 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3716 % | 172.52 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1857 | 0.1861 | 0.1847 | 2.5 | 0.2186 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1861 - 0.1857 = 0.00039999999999998
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1857 - 0.1847 = 0.001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.001 / 0.00039999999999998 = 2.5
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.393% | 1.8R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.393% | 1.8R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.524% | 7.1R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 3.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.923% | 8.9R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 4.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.930% | 13.6R | -0.404% | 1.9R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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