Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 246.55 KAITO at 0.459$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4472 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4911 (7.06 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 05:10:07
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 07:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.4587$
Qty 246.5483 KAITO
Size 113.0819$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4472 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.84$
SL 0.4911 (-7.06%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.35
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +2.84$
MAE -1.06%
MFE +3.75%
0.5R
expires
13 Aug 11:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67904)
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 05:00
score du 13/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0106
Quality Score
0.354
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
19.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 05:02
13/08 05:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.06 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.03×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 05:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3536
Score SMA
0.3576
Rank
#47
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0106
Rank Norm SMA
0.0086
Calculé le
13/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1560 | r1h: -1.295% · r4h: 2.684% · r1d: -18.27% · r3d: -31.27% · ema21_slope: -0.7334% · dist_ema21: -3.375% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2525 | rs_1h: -1.200% · rs_4h: 2.517% · rs_1d: -18.28% · rs_3d: -29.05% · beta_24h: -1.027 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1478 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.783 · trend: -61.20% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7609 | ADX: 60.3 (trend) · Chop: 67.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.988% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.063%
(0.0324)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.055% | 0.2R | -0.757% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.239% | 0.3R | -0.757% | 0.1R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.748% | 0.5R | -0.757% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.748% | 0.5R | -1.062% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.748% | 0.5R | -4.031% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.609% | 1.2R | -4.031% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.95
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_high | -4.24% | -1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | -0.03 | range_medium | -0.45% | -1.00 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | -0.07 | range_low | -0.41% | -0.51 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.02 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.24 | 13/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 7.858×ATR | p83 | -3.063×ATR | p100 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 70b | — | 24.501×ATR | p100 | -3.829×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.446×ATR | p0 | -1.334×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.328×ATR | p13 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.491108
- tp_price: 0.4471935
- atr: 0.0129792
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T15:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 48
- score: 0.156
- delta_2h: -0.1163
- extension_atr: -0.74
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0106
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | 0.45866000 | -0.009% |
| 2 | 06:10 | 0.45430000 | -0.959% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4587 | 0.4911 | 0.4472 | 0.35 | 0.3213 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4587
- Stop Loss: 0.4911
- Take Profit: 0.4472
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4911 - 0.4587 = 0.0324
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4587 - 0.4472 = 0.0115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0115 / 0.0324 = 0.3549
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113.0819 | 100 | 246.5483 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0324
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0324 = 246.91
Taille de position USD = 246.91 x 0.4587 = 113.26
Donc, tu peux acheter 246.91 avec un stoploss a 0.4911
Avec un position size USD de 113.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 246.91 x 0.0324 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 246.91 x 0.0115 = 2.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.84$
Résumé
- Taille de position 246.91
- Taille de position USD 113.26
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.84
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3549
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.84 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.06 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.84 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7565 % | 10.71 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.4587 | 0.4911 | 0.4472 | 0.35 | 0.3213 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.4587
- Stop Loss: 0.4911
- Take Profit: 0.4472
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.4911 - 0.4587 = 0.0324
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.4587 - 0.4472 = 0.0115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0115 / 0.0324 = 0.3549
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.063%
(0.0324)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.055% | 0.2R | -0.757% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.239% | 0.3R | -0.757% | 0.1R | 3.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.748% | 0.5R | -0.757% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.748% | 0.5R | -1.062% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.748% | 0.5R | -4.031% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +8.609% | 1.2R | -4.031% | 0.6R | 2.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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