Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2652.54 2Z at 0.0478$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0466 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05081 (6.3 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 05:10:07
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 05:10
→ 11:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0478$
Qty 2652.5375 2Z
Size 126.786$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0466 (+2.51%)
TP $ 3.18$
SL 0.05081 (-6.3%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.4
Status
loss
PnL
-0.03%
/ -0.04$
MAE -0.71%
MFE +0.72%
0.1R
expires
13 Aug 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 67908)
#46 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 05:00
score du 13/08/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0256
Quality Score
0.397
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 05:02
13/08 05:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#46 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.30 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 05:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 05:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3970
Score SMA
0.4781
Rank
#46
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0256
Rank Norm SMA
0.2351
Calculé le
13/08/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2273 | r1h: -0.044% · r4h: 0.122% · r1d: -8.06% · r3d: -13.17% · ema21_slope: -0.5120% · dist_ema21: -3.966% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3091 | rs_1h: 0.052% · rs_4h: -0.045% · rs_1d: -8.07% · rs_3d: -10.95% · beta_24h: -0.382 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1755 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.368 · trend: -77.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7765 | ADX: 33.2 (trend) · Chop: 27.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.706% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.297%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.107% | 0.0R | -0.481% | 0.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.527% | 0.1R | -0.481% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.617% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.724% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.460% | 0.2R | -1.502% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.460% | 0.2R | -3.209% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.98 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.34 | range_medium | -0.45% | -0.83 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.20 | range_low | -0.41% | -0.67 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.11 | range_low | +0.12% | +0.02 | 13/08 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 7.359×ATR | p91 | -2.304×ATR | p94 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 8.387×ATR | p97 | -1.607×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 13.842×ATR | p100 | -1.39×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 3.023×ATR | p44 | -0.947×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.05081398
- tp_price: 0.04660305
- atr: 0.00120639
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T15:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 47
- total: 48
- score: 0.2273
- delta_2h: -0.014
- extension_atr: -1.39
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0256
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | 0.04779800 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 06:10 | 0.04778100 | -0.04% |
| 3 | 07:10 | 0.04771800 | -0.172% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0478 | 0.05081 | 0.0466 | 0.4 | 0.04961 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0478
- Stop Loss: 0.05081
- Take Profit: 0.0466
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05081 - 0.0478 = 0.00301
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0478 - 0.0466 = 0.0012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0012 / 0.00301 = 0.3987
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 126.786 | 100 | 2652.5375 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00301
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00301 = 2657.81
Taille de position USD = 2657.81 x 0.0478 = 127.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 2657.81 avec un stoploss a 0.05081
Avec un position size USD de 127.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2657.81 x 0.00301 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2657.81 x 0.0012 = 3.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.19$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2657.81
- Taille de position USD 127.04
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.19
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3987
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 3.18 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.3 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.04 $ | -0.03 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.705 % | 11.2 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0478 | 0.05081 | 0.0466 | 0.4 | 0.04961 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0478
- Stop Loss: 0.05081
- Take Profit: 0.0466
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.05081 - 0.0478 = 0.00301
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0478 - 0.0466 = 0.0012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0012 / 0.00301 = 0.3987
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.297%
(0.0030)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.107% | 0.0R | -0.481% | 0.1R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.527% | 0.1R | -0.481% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.617% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.724% | 0.1R | -0.705% | 0.1R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.460% | 0.2R | -1.502% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.460% | 0.2R | -3.209% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.