Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 130.63 VVV at 12.435$ per unit. Take profit: 12.5575 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 12.3738 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 130.63 VVV at 12.435$ per unit. Take profit: 12.5575 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 12.3738 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 12.435$
Qty 130.6312 VVV
Size 1624.3996$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 12.5575 (+0.99%)
TP $ 16$
SL 12.3738 (-0.49%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9870
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.35×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.202023 15m : 0.400059 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6443 | r1h: -0.563% · r4h: 1.325% · r1d: 4.56% · r3d: 3.70% · ema21_slope: 0.2833% · dist_ema21: 3.742% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6379 | rs_1h: -0.350% · rs_4h: 1.788% · rs_1d: 5.34% · rs_3d: 5.82% · beta_24h: 2.410 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2591 | rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.551 · trend: 21.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8052 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 15.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.328% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.756% | 1.5R | -0.523% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.973% | 2.0R | -0.523% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.973% | 2.0R | -0.611% | 1.2R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.327% | 2.7R | -2.774% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.327% | 2.7R | -2.774% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.01 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.45 | bear_medium | -0.75% | +0.69 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.63% | +0.56 | 13/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | -0.08% | +0.16 | 13/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.923×ATR | p24 | +0.689×ATR | p37 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 3.38×ATR | p56 | +2.229×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.411×ATR | p2 | +2.595×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.804×ATR | p56 | +0.846×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63678.9
-0.00136494
63592
0.202023
63704.5
-0.00176699
63592
0.400059
64032.6
-0.00688168
63592
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2.1133
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0.2131
0.86
0.1259
0.5793
0.5706
0.721
0.8133
-1.8847
8.2127
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:17 | 12.43500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:22 | 12.42000000 | -0.121% |
| 3 | 07:28 | 12.42100000 | -0.113% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 12.442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:45:00 | 12.319 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 12.424 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:35:00 | 12.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:05:00 | 12.439 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 12.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:50:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:15:00 | 12.538 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:20:00 | 12.474 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:15:00 | 12.428 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 11:45:00 | 12.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 11.512 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 11.609 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 11.496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:45:00 | 11.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 12.442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 12.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:45:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:15:00 | 12.428 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 12.311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 21:00:00 | 11.776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 11.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 11.771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 11.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 11.496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.435 | 12.3738 | 12.5575 | 2 | 23.846 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3738 - 12.435 = -0.061200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.435 - 12.5575 = -0.1225
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1225 / -0.061200000000001 = 2.0016
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1624.3996 | 100 | 130.6312 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.061200000000001 = -130.72
Taille de position USD = -130.72 x 12.435 = -1625.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -130.72 avec un stoploss a 12.3738
Avec un position size USD de -1625.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -130.72 x -0.061200000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -130.72 x -0.1225 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5227 % | 106.2 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.435 | 12.3738 | 12.5575 | 2 | 23.846 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.3738 - 12.435 = -0.061200000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.435 - 12.5575 = -0.1225
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1225 / -0.061200000000001 = 2.0016
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.756% | 1.5R | -0.523% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.973% | 2.0R | -0.523% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.973% | 2.0R | -0.611% | 1.2R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.327% | 2.7R | -2.774% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.327% | 2.7R | -2.774% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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