Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 384430.56 PUMP at 0.00276$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002798 (1.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002735 (0.76 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 384430.56 PUMP at 0.00276$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002798 (1.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002735 (0.76 %)
Position
Entry 0.002756$
Qty 384430.5622 PUMP
Size 1059.4906$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002798 (+1.52%)
TP $ 16.15$
SL 0.002735 (-0.76%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7095
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.31×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.067208 15m : 0.057085 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5869 | r1h: 0.432% · r4h: -0.214% · r1d: 3.33% · r3d: 1.90% · ema21_slope: 0.1374% · dist_ema21: 1.136% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6168 | rs_1h: 0.645% · rs_4h: 0.249% · rs_1d: 4.11% · rs_3d: 4.01% · beta_24h: 1.293 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1224 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -1.246 · trend: -45.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6225 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 47.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.864% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.488% | 2.0R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.685% | 3.5R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 6.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.189% | 6.8R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 13.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.785% | 8.9R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 17.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.785% | 8.9R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 17.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.24% | +1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.36 | bear_medium | -0.75% | +0.39 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.26 | range_low | -0.63% | +0.26 | 13/08 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.19 | range_low | -0.08% | -0.15 | 13/08 06:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 7.01×ATR | p89 | +2.039×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.528×ATR | p0 | +0.746×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.556×ATR | p2 | +0.535×ATR | p35 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.493×ATR | p0 | +0.377×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63672.2
-0.00204493
63542
0.067208
63704.6
-0.00172083
63595
0.057085
64032.6
-0.00688168
63592
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1
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1
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0.3908
0.3279
0.04
-0.2109
0.4488
0.4334
0.8372
0.7384
-3.7346
10.5398
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:22 | 0.00275600 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:28 | 0.00275100 | -0.181% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 07:05:00 | 0.002777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:40:00 | 0.00281 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:45:00 | 0.002771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:20:00 | 0.00278 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:35:00 | 0.002823 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:55:00 | 0.002774 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 0.002762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:20:00 | 0.002809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:55:00 | 0.002807 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:20:00 | 0.002752 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 23:45:00 | 0.002767 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 00:30:00 | 0.002726 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:30:00 | 0.002776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:15:00 | 0.002722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:45:00 | 0.00287 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:30:00 | 0.002767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:30:00 | 0.002823 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 0.002762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:15:00 | 0.002809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:15:00 | 0.002762 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 19:00:00 | 0.002863 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.002727 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 0.002957 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 17:00:00 | 0.00267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.002803 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.002814 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.002632 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 0.002806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.002658 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.00287 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002756 | 0.002735 | 0.002798 | 2 | 0.003993 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002735 - 0.002756 = -2.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002756 - 0.002798 = -4.2E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2E-5 / -2.1E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1059.4906 | 100 | 384430.5622 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.1E-5 = -380952.38
Taille de position USD = -380952.38 x 0.002756 = -1049.9
Donc, tu peux acheter -380952.38 avec un stoploss a 0.002735
Avec un position size USD de -1049.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -380952.38 x -2.1E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -380952.38 x -4.2E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.52 % | 16.15 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.15 $ | 1.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3991 % | 52.38 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002756 | 0.002735 | 0.002798 | 2 | 0.003993 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002735 - 0.002756 = -2.1E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002756 - 0.002798 = -4.2E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2E-5 / -2.1E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.488% | 2.0R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 3.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.685% | 3.5R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 6.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +5.189% | 6.8R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 13.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +6.785% | 8.9R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 17.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.785% | 8.9R | -0.399% | 0.5R | 17.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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