Long Trade on LDO (CatchTheWave)
With 13301.41 LDO at 0.292$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2936 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2918 (0.21 %)
Long Trade on LDO (CatchTheWave)
With 13301.41 LDO at 0.292$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2936 (0.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2918 (0.21 %)
Position
Entry 0.2924$
Qty 13301.4099 LDO
Size 3888.9332$ (margin 100$) (leverage 39)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2936 (+0.41%)
TP $ 15.96$
SL 0.2918 (-0.21%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4630
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.82×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.45×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.27×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.440671 15m : 0.460647 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5110 | r1h: -0.177% · r4h: -0.339% · r1d: 1.12% · r3d: 0.39% · ema21_slope: 0.0695% · dist_ema21: 0.555% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5487 | rs_1h: 0.037% · rs_4h: 0.124% · rs_1d: 1.90% · rs_3d: 2.50% · beta_24h: 1.876 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1460 | rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.810 · trend: -73.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5640 | ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.873% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.765% | 8.6R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 30.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.843% | 9.0R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 31.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 41.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.98 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.31 | bear_medium | -0.87% | +0.15 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.19 | range_low | -0.65% | +0.02 | 13/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.46 | range_low | -0.39% | +0.04 | 13/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 21b | — | 5.962×ATR | p69 | -0.988×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.711×ATR | p3 | +0.254×ATR | p18 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.282×ATR | p0 | +0.515×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.769×ATR | p33 | -1.138×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63670
-0.00409978
63409
0.440671
63694.9
-0.00448904
63409
0.460647
64032.6
-0.00688168
63592
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
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0.2965
195
0.6893
0.5692
0.3002
0.2444
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0.1394
0.6089
0.6268
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0.6251
0.6871
0.085
0.0398
1
0.5209
0.7587
0.5
0.5
1
4
1
0.5113
0.4662
4.1739
0.55
1.9121
3.5964
0.7587
0.036
0.2344
0
-0.37
0.4559
0.5274
0.9343
0.6871
-3.2383
7.1108
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:32 | 0.29237000 | -0.01% |
| 2 | 07:37 | 0.29244000 | +0.014% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 06:35:00 | 0.29246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:05:00 | 0.2965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 0.29289 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:40:00 | 0.29363 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:50:00 | 0.29283 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 0.29363 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:35:00 | 0.29239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:55:00 | 0.29475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:45:00 | 0.29409 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 0.29237 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 19:15:00 | 0.28502 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.28497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:45:00 | 0.29384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:30:00 | 0.29076 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:15:00 | 0.29364 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.2965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 0.29239 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 0.29475 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 0.29237 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.29076 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 0.29318 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 02:00:00 | 0.30009 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 0.28335 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 00:00:00 | 0.29568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 08:00:00 | 0.28662 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 0.29765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 0.28497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 0.29384 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 0.2965 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2924 | 0.2918 | 0.2936 | 2 | 0.3694 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2918 - 0.2924 = -0.00059999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2924 - 0.2936 = -0.0012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0012 / -0.00059999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3888.9332 | 100 | 13301.4099 | 39.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00059999999999999 = -13333.33
Taille de position USD = -13333.33 x 0.2924 = -3898.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -13333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.2918
Avec un position size USD de -3898.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.00059999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.0012 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 15.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.96 $ | 0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0581 % | 28.31 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2924 | 0.2918 | 0.2936 | 2 | 0.3694 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2918 - 0.2924 = -0.00059999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2924 - 0.2936 = -0.0012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0012 / -0.00059999999999999 = 2
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Array
(
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.765% | 8.6R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 30.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.843% | 9.0R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 31.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.058% | 0.3R | 41.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.404% | 11.7R | -0.332% | 1.6R | 7.3× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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