Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 637.04 AVAX at 6.484$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5088 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4711 (0.19 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 637.04 AVAX at 6.484$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5088 (0.39 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4711 (0.19 %)
Position
Entry 6.4837$
Qty 637.0416 AVAX
Size 4130.3865$ (margin 100$) (leverage 41)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5088 (+0.39%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 6.4711 (-0.19%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8627
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.42×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.54×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.32304 15m : 0.524291 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 07:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5459 | r1h: 0.069% · r4h: -0.407% · r1d: 3.61% · r3d: -0.25% · ema21_slope: 0.1348% · dist_ema21: 1.105% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5833 | rs_1h: 0.283% · rs_4h: 0.056% · rs_1d: 4.38% · rs_3d: 1.87% · beta_24h: 1.488 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1724 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -0.596 · trend: -40.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7155 | ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 44.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.796% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.821% | 4.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.993% | 5.1R | -0.012% | 0.1R | 80.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.993% | 5.1R | -1.089% | 5.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.993% | 5.1R | -1.854% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.993% | 5.1R | -1.854% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.0ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.40 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.62 | bear_medium | -0.87% | +0.25 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.51 | range_low | -0.65% | +0.18 | 13/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | near 0.4ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.51 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.00 | 13/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.554×ATR | p0 | +0.207×ATR | p16 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.003×ATR | p0 | +0.77×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.325×ATR | p78 | +1.411×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.69×ATR | p0 | -0.642×ATR | p30 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63670
-0.00406898
63411
0.32304
63694.9
-0.00445826
63411
0.524291
64032.6
-0.00688168
63592
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6.2932
186
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0.2346
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0.6516
0.168
0.6496
0.8335
0.1924
0.1047
1
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2.3058
0.5
0.5
1
23
1
0.5308
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4.3236
0.55
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2.1226
2.3058
0.7554
0.2247
0.28
-0.4247
0.4012
0.5812
0.8413
0.8335
-1.8197
9.1123
1
0
2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 05:05:00 | 6.4837 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 6.5421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:40:00 | 6.5173 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:10:00 | 6.5419 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 6.532 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 6.4916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:40:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:55:00 | 6.5028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:45:00 | 6.5148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 6.4837 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 15:30:00 | 6.3977 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 16:45:00 | 6.3266 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 6.3963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 6.3279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:45:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 6.5421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:45:00 | 6.5148 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 6.4072 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 6.5553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 6.1123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 6.3297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 6.2085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 6.5403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 20:00:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4837 | 6.4711 | 6.5088 | 1.99 | 7.6344 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4711 - 6.4837 = -0.0126
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4837 - 6.5088 = -0.0251
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0251 / -0.0126 = 1.9921
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4130.3865 | 100 | 637.0416 | 41.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0126 = -634.92
Taille de position USD = -634.92 x 6.4837 = -4116.63
Donc, tu peux acheter -634.92 avec un stoploss a 6.4711
Avec un position size USD de -4116.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -634.92 x -0.0126 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -634.92 x -0.0251 = 15.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.39 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.19 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 0.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.4837 | 6.4711 | 6.5088 | 1.99 | 7.6344 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4711 - 6.4837 = -0.0126
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.4837 - 6.5088 = -0.0251
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0251 / -0.0126 = 1.9921
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.821% | 4.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.993% | 5.1R | -0.012% | 0.1R | 80.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.993% | 5.1R | -1.089% | 5.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.993% | 5.1R | -1.854% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.993% | 5.1R | -1.854% | 9.5R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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