Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1625.25 NEAR at 1.65$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6595 (0.59 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6448 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1625.25 NEAR at 1.65$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6595 (0.59 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6448 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 1.6497$
Qty 1625.2499 NEAR
Size 2681.1747$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6595 (+0.59%)
TP $ 15.93$
SL 1.6448 (-0.3%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7011
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.81×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.94×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.389667 15m : 0.421355 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 07:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5154 | r1h: -0.054% · r4h: -0.669% · r1d: 0.70% · r3d: 0.49% · ema21_slope: 0.1020% · dist_ema21: 0.643% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5425 | rs_1h: 0.159% · rs_4h: -0.206% · rs_1d: 1.48% · rs_3d: 2.60% · beta_24h: 1.501 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1862 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.528 · trend: -33.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5753 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 47.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.920% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.576% | 1.9R | -0.085% | 0.3R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.685% | 2.3R | -0.085% | 0.3R | 8.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.388% | 4.7R | -0.521% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.388% | 4.7R | -1.594% | 5.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.388% | 4.7R | -1.728% | 5.8R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.62 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.62 | bear_medium | -0.87% | +0.48 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.46 | bear_low | -0.89% | +0.17 | 13/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.34% | +0.03 | 13/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 29b | — | 5.445×ATR | p75 | -0.415×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.645×ATR | p0 | +0.807×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.477×ATR | p2 | +0.415×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 0.449×ATR | p0 | -0.756×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63653.9
-0.00300006
63463
0.389667
63690.5
-0.00357336
63463
0.421355
64029.5
-0.00925483
63437
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3
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0.5331
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0.04
-0.3681
0.4051
0.5889
0.8224
0.8317
-1.8368
9.0797
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:50 | 1.64970000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:56 | 1.64950000 | -0.012% |
| 3 | 08:04 | 1.65050000 | +0.048% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 06:40:00 | 1.6644 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:55:00 | 1.675 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:15:00 | 1.6661 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 1.6689 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:15:00 | 1.6544 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:00:00 | 1.6653 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:30:00 | 1.6544 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 1.6656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:45:00 | 1.6495 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 14:30:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 1.6556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:00:00 | 1.6322 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:45:00 | 1.6141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 00:00:00 | 1.6527 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:30:00 | 1.6337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:15:00 | 1.6544 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 1.6656 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:45:00 | 1.6495 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 1.5955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 1.6681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 1.5903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:00:00 | 1.6833 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 14:00:00 | 1.6106 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 1.6141 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 1.6806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:00:00 | 1.6544 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6497 | 1.6448 | 1.6595 | 2 | 2.4887 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6448 - 1.6497 = -0.0048999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6497 - 1.6595 = -0.0098
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0098 / -0.0048999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2681.1747 | 100 | 1625.2499 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0048999999999999 = -1632.65
Taille de position USD = -1632.65 x 1.6497 = -2693.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -1632.65 avec un stoploss a 1.6448
Avec un position size USD de -2693.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1632.65 x -0.0048999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1632.65 x -0.0098 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 15.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.93 $ | 0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0849 % | 28.59 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6497 | 1.6448 | 1.6595 | 2 | 2.4887 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6448 - 1.6497 = -0.0048999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6497 - 1.6595 = -0.0098
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0098 / -0.0048999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.576% | 1.9R | -0.085% | 0.3R | 6.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.685% | 2.3R | -0.085% | 0.3R | 8.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.388% | 4.7R | -0.521% | 1.8R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.388% | 4.7R | -1.594% | 5.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.388% | 4.7R | -1.728% | 5.8R | 0.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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