Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 51.04 HYPE at 57.05$ per unit. Take profit: 57.3635 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 56.8933 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 51.04 HYPE at 57.05$ per unit. Take profit: 57.3635 (0.55 %) & Stop Loss: 56.8933 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 57.05$
Qty 51.0381 HYPE
Size 2911.7258$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 57.3635 (+0.55%)
TP $ 16$
SL 56.8933 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9393
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.55×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.67×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 07:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.278419 15m : 0.315803 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium_confirmed (+1) 13/08 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5914 | r1h: -0.438% · r4h: 0.202% · r1d: 3.58% · r3d: 5.55% · ema21_slope: 0.1294% · dist_ema21: 1.496% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6228 | rs_1h: -0.225% · rs_4h: 0.665% · rs_1d: 4.36% · rs_3d: 7.66% · beta_24h: 0.864 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3645 | rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.038 · trend: 26.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8236 | ADX: 44.2 (trend) · Chop: 43.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.758% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.089% | 4.0R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 10.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.749% | 6.4R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 16.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.542% | 9.3R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 24.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.542% | 9.3R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 24.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.542% | 9.3R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 24.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.02 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -1.7ATR | 0.55 | bear_medium | -0.87% | +0.67 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.52 | bear_low | -0.89% | +0.10 | 13/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_low |
50%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.31 | range_low | -0.34% | +0.02 | 13/08 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 5.887×ATR | p79 | +0.407×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.189×ATR | p66 | +2.032×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 0.718×ATR | p0 | +1.035×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.433×ATR | p62 | -0.886×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63653.6
-0.00321566
63449
0.278419
63690.5
-0.00357336
63463
0.315803
64029.5
-0.00925483
63437
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 12:00:00
[1] => 55.244
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 16:00:00
[1] => 53.947
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 20:00:00
[1] => 56.079
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 01:00:00
[1] => 54.765
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:00:00
[1] => 55.615
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:00:00
[1] => 54.8
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 53.737
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:00:00
[1] => 56.913
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 23:00:00
[1] => 55.896
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 09:00:00
[1] => 57.755
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1323694918189
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1557893230285
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3258193788464
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 14:15:00
[1] => 55.393
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 17:45:00
[1] => 56.913
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 22:15:00
[1] => 56.444
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-12 23:15:00
[1] => 55.896
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 04:00:00
[1] => 56.365
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 05:15:00
[1] => 57.383
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 07:00:00
[1] => 57.476
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 08:15:00
[1] => 56.805
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 09:45:00
[1] => 57.755
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:30:00
[1] => 56.951
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1254436845295
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2704078945058
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4117399167706
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 04:00:00
[1] => 56.365
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 05:25:00
[1] => 57.383
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 06:50:00
[1] => 57.159
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 07:05:00
[1] => 57.476
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 07:40:00
[1] => 57.252
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 08:25:00
[1] => 56.805
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 09:00:00
[1] => 57.098
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 09:10:00
[1] => 56.88
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 09:55:00
[1] => 57.755
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-13 11:40:00
[1] => 56.951
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.2206735347589
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17383364646801
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 23
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4117399167706
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
56.805
196
0.7869
0.7279
0.4115
0.2392
0.5525
0.4247
0.5429
0.7519
0.7499
0.6769
0.7576
0.8385
0.175
0.1295
1
0.8526
2.425
0.65
0.35
1
4
1
0.5216
0.8388
3.9473
0.55
0.4247
1.6764
2.425
0.6701
0.2505
0.84
-0.0407
0.4965
0.5122
0.8606
0.8385
-1.4151
7.3459
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:52 | 57.05000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:58 | 57.01600000 | -0.06% |
| 3 | 08:05 | 57.00000000 | -0.088% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 56.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:25:00 | 57.383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:50:00 | 57.159 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 07:05:00 | 57.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:40:00 | 57.252 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:25:00 | 56.805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 57.098 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:10:00 | 56.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:55:00 | 57.755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:40:00 | 56.951 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 14:15:00 | 55.393 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:45:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:15:00 | 56.444 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:15:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 56.365 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:15:00 | 57.383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 07:00:00 | 57.476 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 56.805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 57.755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 56.951 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 55.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:00:00 | 53.947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:00:00 | 56.079 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 54.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 53.737 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 17:00:00 | 56.913 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 23:00:00 | 55.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 57.755 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.05 | 56.8933 | 57.3635 | 2 | 80.499 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.8933 - 57.05 = -0.15669999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.05 - 57.3635 = -0.3135
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3135 / -0.15669999999999 = 2.0006
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2911.7258 | 100 | 51.0381 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.15669999999999 = -51.05
Taille de position USD = -51.05 x 57.05 = -2912.4
Donc, tu peux acheter -51.05 avec un stoploss a 56.8933
Avec un position size USD de -2912.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -51.05 x -0.15669999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -51.05 x -0.3135 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.55 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1052 % | 38.3 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.05 | 56.8933 | 57.3635 | 2 | 80.499 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.8933 - 57.05 = -0.15669999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.05 - 57.3635 = -0.3135
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3135 / -0.15669999999999 = 2.0006
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.3634
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 12:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.44175
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 12:30:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.5201
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 12:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.59845
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 12:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.6768
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 12:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.75515
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 13:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.8335
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 13:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.91185
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 13:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 57.9902
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 13:40:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 58.06855
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 14:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 58.1469
[stop_loss] => 56.8933
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 14:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.089% | 4.0R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 10.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.749% | 6.4R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 16.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.542% | 9.3R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 24.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.542% | 9.3R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 24.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.542% | 9.3R | -0.105% | 0.4R | 24.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.