13 Aug 2026 at 08:10:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 90.26 UNI at 3.516$ per unit. Take profit: 3.4276 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.6041 (2.52 %)

UNI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 08:10 → 14:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.5155$

Qty 90.2574 UNI

Size 317.2999$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 3.4276 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.93$

SL 3.6041 (-2.52%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.99

Status win PnL +0.75% / +2.39$ MAE -0.11% MFE +1.68% 0.7R expires 13 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68023)
#46 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1138

Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 08:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#46 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#46 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.52 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.17×ATR
4h near 0.12×ATR
1d clear 2.15×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 08:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

13/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

13/08 07:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range compression 0
Operational bear transition +1
Tactical range range 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 08:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4184
Score SMA
0.4412
Rank
#46 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1138
Rank Norm SMA
0.0930
Calculé le
13/08/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3258 r1h: -1.574% · r4h: -1.612% · r1d: -0.29% · r3d: -12.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0249% · dist_ema21: -1.187%
Force Relative 25% 0.3575 rs_1h: -1.278% · rs_4h: -0.995% · rs_1d: 0.91% · rs_3d: -9.59% · beta_24h: 1.831
Volume 20% 0.2942 rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: -0.334 · trend: -57.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4832 ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 67.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.043% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.520% (0.0886)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.016% 0.4R -0.114% 0.1R 8.9× 12
2h +1.408% 0.6R -0.114% 0.1R 12.4× 24
4h +1.604% 0.6R -0.114% 0.1R 14.1× 48
6h ★ +1.684% 0.7R -0.114% 0.1R 14.8× 72
8h +1.684% 0.7R -0.114% 0.1R 14.8× 96
12h +1.684% 0.7R -0.114% 0.1R 14.8× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.27
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion range_high
34%
noisy_chop 36% mid 0.64 bear_high -4.24% -0.50 12/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 43% late near 0.1ATR 0.50 bear_medium -0.87% -0.72 13/08 04:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.2ATR 0.38 bear_low -0.89% +0.07 13/08 07:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_medium_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 47% late range_low -0.34% -0.04 13/08 07:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 13b 4.369×ATR p38 -1.169×ATR p63
4h ↓ down late 21b 6.063×ATR p94 -1.314×ATR p76
1h ↓ down mid 4b 2.154×ATR p23 -1.352×ATR p75
15m ↑ up late 15b 0×ATR p0 -3.026×ATR p94

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.6041354
  2. tp_price: 3.4276125
  3. atr: 0.03545416
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-13T18:10:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 46
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.3258
  4. delta_2h: -0.0984
  5. extension_atr: -1.49
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1138
  9. confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:10 3.51550000 0%
2 09:10 3.49900000 -0.469%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.5155 3.6041 3.4276 0.99 5.9608
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.5155
  • Stop Loss: 3.6041
  • Take Profit: 3.4276

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6041 - 3.5155 = 0.0886

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.5155 - 3.4276 = 0.0879

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0879 / 0.0886 = 0.9921

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
317.2999 100 90.2574 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0886

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0886 = 90.29

Taille de position USD = 90.29 x 3.5155 = 317.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 90.29 avec un stoploss a 3.6041

Avec un position size USD de 317.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 90.29 x 0.0886 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 90.29 x 0.0879 = 7.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 90.29
  • Taille de position USD 317.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9921

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 7.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.52 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
2.39 $ 0.75
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1138 % 4.52 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.5155 3.6041 3.4276 0.99 5.9608
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.5155
  • Stop Loss: 3.6041
  • Take Profit: 3.4276

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.6041 - 3.5155 = 0.0886

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.5155 - 3.4276 = 0.0879

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0879 / 0.0886 = 0.9921

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.520% (0.0886)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.016% 0.4R -0.114% 0.1R 8.9× 12
2h +1.408% 0.6R -0.114% 0.1R 12.4× 24
4h +1.604% 0.6R -0.114% 0.1R 14.1× 48
6h ★ +1.684% 0.7R -0.114% 0.1R 14.8× 72
8h +1.684% 0.7R -0.114% 0.1R 14.8× 96
12h +1.684% 0.7R -0.114% 0.1R 14.8× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.