Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 90.26 UNI at 3.516$ per unit. Take profit: 3.4276 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.6041 (2.52 %)
Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 90.26 UNI at 3.516$ per unit. Take profit: 3.4276 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.6041 (2.52 %)
Position
Entry 3.5155$
Qty 90.2574 UNI
Size 317.2999$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 3.4276 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.93$
SL 3.6041 (-2.52%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1138
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.17×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.12×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.15×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 08:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 07:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3258 | r1h: -1.574% · r4h: -1.612% · r1d: -0.29% · r3d: -12.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0249% · dist_ema21: -1.187% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3575 | rs_1h: -1.278% · rs_4h: -0.995% · rs_1d: 0.91% · rs_3d: -9.59% · beta_24h: 1.831 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2942 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: -0.334 · trend: -57.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4832 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 67.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.043% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.016% | 0.4R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 8.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.408% | 0.6R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 12.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.604% | 0.6R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.684% | 0.7R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.684% | 0.7R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.684% | 0.7R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | bear_high | -4.24% | -0.50 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_medium | -0.87% | -0.72 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_low | -0.89% | +0.07 | 13/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.34% | -0.04 | 13/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 4.369×ATR | p38 | -1.169×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 21b | — | 6.063×ATR | p94 | -1.314×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.154×ATR | p23 | -1.352×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 15b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -3.026×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:10 | 3.51550000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:10 | 3.49900000 | -0.469% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5155 | 3.6041 | 3.4276 | 0.99 | 5.9608 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.6041 - 3.5155 = 0.0886
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.5155 - 3.4276 = 0.0879
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0879 / 0.0886 = 0.9921
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 317.2999 | 100 | 90.2574 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0886 = 90.29
Taille de position USD = 90.29 x 3.5155 = 317.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 90.29 avec un stoploss a 3.6041
Avec un position size USD de 317.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 90.29 x 0.0886 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 90.29 x 0.0879 = 7.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.93 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.39 $ | 0.75 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1138 % | 4.52 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5155 | 3.6041 | 3.4276 | 0.99 | 5.9608 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.6041 - 3.5155 = 0.0886
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 3.5155 - 3.4276 = 0.0879
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0879 / 0.0886 = 0.9921
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.016% | 0.4R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 8.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.408% | 0.6R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 12.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.604% | 0.6R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.684% | 0.7R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.684% | 0.7R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.684% | 0.7R | -0.114% | 0.1R | 14.8× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Aucun commentaire.