Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 709.94 CRV at 0.25$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2439 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2614 (4.52 %)
Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 709.94 CRV at 0.25$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2439 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2614 (4.52 %)
Position
Entry 0.2501$
Qty 709.9405 CRV
Size 177.5916$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2439 (+2.48%)
TP $ 4.4$
SL 0.2614 (-4.52%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.55
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3155
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.99×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.56×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 08:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 13/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 07:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3364 | r1h: -2.369% · r4h: -1.141% · r1d: -8.48% · r3d: 3.61% · ema21_slope: -0.2772% · dist_ema21: -3.325% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3632 | rs_1h: -2.073% · rs_4h: -0.523% · rs_1d: -7.28% · rs_3d: 6.18% · beta_24h: 0.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7755 | rvol_20: 3.03× · zscore_50: 1.194 · trend: 21.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6615 | ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.865% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.172% | 0.0R | -1.751% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.172% | 0.0R | -1.751% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.172% | 0.0R | -2.011% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.172% | 0.0R | -2.011% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.044% | 0.2R | -2.011% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.044% | 0.2R | -2.723% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.24% | +0.98 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bear_medium | -0.87% | +0.67 | 13/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.23 | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.70 | 13/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.34% | +0.03 | 13/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.133×ATR | p40 | +1.897×ATR | p91 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 3.138×ATR | p38 | -0.152×ATR | p14 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 5.565×ATR | p92 | -2.067×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.694×ATR | p66 | -1.836×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2501 | 0.2614 | 0.2439 | 0.55 | 0.3391 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2614 - 0.2501 = 0.0113
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2501 - 0.2439 = 0.0062
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.0113 = 0.5487
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 177.5916 | 100 | 709.9405 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0113 = 707.96
Taille de position USD = 707.96 x 0.2501 = 177.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 707.96 avec un stoploss a 0.2614
Avec un position size USD de 177.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 707.96 x 0.0113 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 707.96 x 0.0062 = 4.39
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.39$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 4.4 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.52 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.87 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0112 % | 44.51 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2501 | 0.2614 | 0.2439 | 0.55 | 0.3391 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2614 - 0.2501 = 0.0113
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2501 - 0.2439 = 0.0062
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0062 / 0.0113 = 0.5487
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.172% | 0.0R | -1.751% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.172% | 0.0R | -1.751% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.172% | 0.0R | -2.011% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.172% | 0.0R | -2.011% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.044% | 0.2R | -2.011% | 0.5R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.044% | 0.2R | -2.723% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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