Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 3322.78 2Z at 0.0476$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04637 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04996 (5.05 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 10:10:05
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 10:10
→ 16:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04756$
Qty 3322.7835 2Z
Size 158.0183$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04637 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.95$
SL 0.04996 (-5.05%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.73%
/ -4.31$
MAE -3.73%
MFE +0.96%
0.2R
expires
13 Aug 16:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68144)
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 10:00
score du 13/08/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0082
Quality Score
0.337
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 10:03
13/08 10:03
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#50 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.88
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 10:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3369
Score SMA
0.4510
Rank
#50
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0082
Rank Norm SMA
0.1917
Calculé le
13/08/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2382 | r1h: 0.380% · r4h: -0.305% · r1d: -9.78% · r3d: -13.53% · ema21_slope: -0.3983% · dist_ema21: -2.438% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2791 | rs_1h: 0.236% · rs_4h: -0.328% · rs_1d: -9.70% · rs_3d: -12.33% · beta_24h: 0.102 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1776 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.335 · trend: -82.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4010 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 82.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.150% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.046%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.223% | 0.0R | -0.852% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -0.852% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -2.721% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.963% | 0.2R | -3.730% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -3.730% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -8.015% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.08
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
40%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -4.65% | -0.98 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.34 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.85 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.20 | range_low | -0.36% | -0.82 | 13/08 09:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.13 | range_low | +0.21% | -0.02 | 13/08 09:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 32b | — | 7.434×ATR | p91 | -2.384×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 8.768×ATR | p97 | -1.51×ATR | p79 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 17.732×ATR | p100 | -2.072×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.413×ATR | p0 | +0.002×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04996362
- tp_price: 0.0463671
- atr: 0.00096305
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T20:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 50
- score: 0.2382
- delta_2h: -0.0282
- extension_atr: -1.24
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0082
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04756 | 0.04996 | 0.04637 | 0.5 | 0.04663 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04756
- Stop Loss: 0.04996
- Take Profit: 0.04637
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04996 - 0.04756 = 0.0024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04756 - 0.04637 = 0.00119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00119 / 0.0024 = 0.4958
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158.0183 | 100 | 3322.7835 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0024
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0024 = 3333.33
Taille de position USD = 3333.33 x 0.04756 = 158.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 3333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.04996
Avec un position size USD de 158.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3333.33 x 0.0024 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3333.33 x 0.00119 = 3.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position 3333.33
- Taille de position USD 158.53
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4958
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.05 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.31 $ | -2.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.73 % | 73.92 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04756 | 0.04996 | 0.04637 | 0.5 | 0.04663 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04756
- Stop Loss: 0.04996
- Take Profit: 0.04637
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04996 - 0.04756 = 0.0024
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04756 - 0.04637 = 0.00119
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00119 / 0.0024 = 0.4958
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.046%
(0.0024)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.223% | 0.0R | -0.852% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -0.852% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -2.721% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.963% | 0.2R | -3.730% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -3.730% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.963% | 0.2R | -8.015% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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