13 Aug 2026 at 10:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on UNI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 88.04 UNI at 3.474$ per unit. Take profit: 3.3869 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.5646 (2.62 %)

UNI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 10:10 → 16:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.4737$

Qty 88.0441 UNI

Size 305.8388$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 3.3869 (+2.5%)

TP $ 7.64$

SL 3.5646 (-2.62%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.95

Status loss PnL -0.58% / -1.79$ MAE -0.96% MFE +0.50% 0.2R expires 13 Aug 16:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68119)
#44 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1721

Quality Score
0.450
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 10:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#44 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#44 / 50 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.62 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.11×ATR
4h clear 0.67×ATR
1d clear 1.95×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 10:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

13/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

13/08 09:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression 0
Operational range transition 0
Tactical range range 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.88
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 10:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.4501
Score SMA
0.4402
Rank
#44 / 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1721
Rank Norm SMA
0.1028
Calculé le
13/08/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3069 r1h: -0.545% · r4h: -3.223% · r1d: -1.57% · r3d: -13.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0460% · dist_ema21: -2.209%
Force Relative 25% 0.2864 rs_1h: -0.690% · rs_4h: -3.247% · rs_1d: -1.49% · rs_3d: -11.84% · beta_24h: 1.586
Volume 20% 0.4419 rvol_20: 1.59× · zscore_50: -0.118 · trend: 6.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6536 ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.094% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.617% (0.0909)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.035% 0.0R -0.956% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.420% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h +0.501% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.501% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +0.501% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +0.501% 0.2R -1.624% 0.6R 0.3× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.64
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion range_high
33%
noisy_chop 37% mid 0.64 bear_high -4.65% -0.55 12/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading normal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 46% late 0.50 range_medium -0.58% -0.84 13/08 08:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 44% late near 0.1ATR 0.38 range_low -0.36% -0.17 13/08 09:00
15m ↓ down range range strong fading expansion_after_compression bear_medium_confirmed
60%
choppy 53% late near -1.9ATR range_low +0.17% -0.33 13/08 09:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 13b 4.488×ATR p38 -1.309×ATR p67
4h ↓ down late 22b 7.046×ATR p100 -1.997×ATR p90
1h ↓ down late 6b 3.44×ATR p81 -2.455×ATR p94
15m ↓ down late 2b 0.835×ATR p0 -2.089×ATR p82

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.56456356
  2. tp_price: 3.3868575
  3. atr: 0.03634543
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-13T20:10:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 48
  2. total: 50
  3. score: 0.3069
  4. delta_2h: -0.0189
  5. extension_atr: -2.1
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1721
  9. confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4737 3.5646 3.3869 0.95 6.1322
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4737
  • Stop Loss: 3.5646
  • Take Profit: 3.3869

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5646 - 3.4737 = 0.0909

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4737 - 3.3869 = 0.0868

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0868 / 0.0909 = 0.9549

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
305.8388 100 88.0441 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0909

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0909 = 88.01

Taille de position USD = 88.01 x 3.4737 = 305.72

Donc, tu peux acheter 88.01 avec un stoploss a 3.5646

Avec un position size USD de 305.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 88.01 x 0.0909 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 88.01 x 0.0868 = 7.64

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.64$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 88.01
  • Taille de position USD 305.72
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 7.64
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9549

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 7.64 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.62 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.79 $ -0.58
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9558 % 36.53 % 12
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.4737 3.5646 3.3869 0.95 6.1322
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.4737
  • Stop Loss: 3.5646
  • Take Profit: 3.3869

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.5646 - 3.4737 = 0.0909

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.4737 - 3.3869 = 0.0868

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0868 / 0.0909 = 0.9549

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.617% (0.0909)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.035% 0.0R -0.956% 0.4R 0.0× 12
2h +0.420% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h +0.501% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +0.501% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.5× 72
8h +0.501% 0.2R -0.956% 0.4R 0.5× 96
12h +0.501% 0.2R -1.624% 0.6R 0.3× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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