Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 452.88 AVAX at 6.478$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5133 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4603 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 452.88 AVAX at 6.478$ per unit. Take profit: 6.5133 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 6.4603 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 6.478$
Qty 452.8837 AVAX
Size 2933.7805$ (margin 100$) (leverage 29)
Risk Setup
TP 6.5133 (+0.54%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 6.4603 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8124
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.30×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.50×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.537196 15m : 0.55168 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 10:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5470 | r1h: -0.669% · r4h: 0.046% · r1d: 2.34% · r3d: -0.35% · ema21_slope: 0.1523% · dist_ema21: 0.749% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5039 | rs_1h: -0.813% · rs_4h: 0.023% · rs_1d: 2.42% · rs_3d: 0.85% · beta_24h: 1.411 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2690 | rvol_20: 0.84× · zscore_50: -0.281 · trend: -24.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7068 | ADX: 32.1 (trend) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.800% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.002% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.602% | 5.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.768% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.768% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.768% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near -0.1ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.78 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.42 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.62 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.18 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.52 | range_low | -0.30% | +0.12 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.1ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | range_low | +0.28% | +0.00 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.592×ATR | p0 | +0.173×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.932×ATR | p0 | +0.609×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 16b | — | 4.074×ATR | p73 | +0.863×ATR | p45 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.259×ATR | p0 | +0.178×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63684.1
0.00235346
63834
0.537196
63667.6
0.00236154
63818
0.55168
64028.5
-0.00364712
63795
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6.2932
183
0.7176
0.6367
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0.2463
0.375
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0.6516
0.2262
0.6918
0.8196
0.1322
0.0858
1
0.8039
1.7143
0.5
0.5
1
26
1
0.5074
0.6027
4.3236
0.55
0.9212
2.1226
1.7143
0.7554
0.2138
0.32
-0.2487
0.4807
0.5916
0.8843
0.8196
-1.7978
8.168
1
0
2
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 6.4916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:40:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 09:55:00 | 6.5028 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:45:00 | 6.5148 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 6.4799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:10:00 | 6.5369 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:55:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:30:00 | 6.4829 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:10:00 | 6.5219 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:25:00 | 6.478 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 18:00:00 | 6.3963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 19:45:00 | 6.3279 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 20:30:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:45:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:15:00 | 6.5421 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:30:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 6.4799 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:45:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:30:00 | 6.4829 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 6.5553 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 6.1123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:00:00 | 6.3297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 6.2085 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 12:00:00 | 6.5403 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 20:00:00 | 6.4194 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 22:00:00 | 6.2932 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 04:00:00 | 6.545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:00:00 | 6.4749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:00:00 | 6.5481 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.478 | 6.4603 | 6.5133 | 1.99 | 7.4749 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4603 - 6.478 = -0.0177
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.478 - 6.5133 = -0.0353
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0353 / -0.0177 = 1.9944
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2933.7805 | 100 | 452.8837 | 29.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0177 = -451.98
Taille de position USD = -451.98 x 6.478 = -2927.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -451.98 avec un stoploss a 6.4603
Avec un position size USD de -2927.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -451.98 x -0.0177 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -451.98 x -0.0353 = 15.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5079 % | 185.91 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.478 | 6.4603 | 6.5133 | 1.99 | 7.4749 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 6.4603 - 6.478 = -0.0177
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 6.478 - 6.5133 = -0.0353
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0353 / -0.0177 = 1.9944
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.002% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.602% | 5.9R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.768% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.768% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.397% | 1.5R | -1.768% | 6.5R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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