Long Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 5347.59 JUP at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1747 (2.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1695 (0.88 %)
Long Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 5347.59 JUP at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1747 (2.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1695 (0.88 %)
Position
Entry 0.171$
Qty 5347.5936 JUP
Size 914.4385$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1747 (+2.16%)
TP $ 19.79$
SL 0.1695 (-0.88%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.47
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1262
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 5.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 10:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 13/08 10:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4330 | r1h: 0.129% · r4h: -0.357% · r1d: -1.56% · r3d: -6.98% · ema21_slope: -0.0319% · dist_ema21: -0.453% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4249 | rs_1h: -0.015% · rs_4h: -0.380% · rs_1d: -1.48% · rs_3d: -5.78% · beta_24h: 1.179 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2489 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.443 · trend: -23.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5222 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 63.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.756% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.135% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -4.65% | -0.70 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | -0.73% | -0.50 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.09% | -0.05 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
36%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.42 | range_low | +0.42% | -0.04 | 13/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 42b | — | 9.401×ATR | p94 | -2.181×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 6.279×ATR | p93 | -1.718×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 10b | — | 2.001×ATR | p31 | -0.273×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.569×ATR | p3 | +0.706×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.17334
139
0.3908
0.6608
0.2914
0.2554
0.3208
1
0.4391
0.3996
0.5999
0.024
0.693
0.1057
-0.0841
-0.1127
0
-0.2197
-2.108
0.5
0.5
1
10
1
0.4892
0.8267
2.4083
0.55
1.4308
2.4314
-2.108
0.4701
0.2665
0.04
-0.3369
0.4464
0.5259
0.5742
0.1057
-15.2317
1.8007
1
1
0
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0.16962
0.17334
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0.16871
0.16906
0.5014
0.17466
0.17097
0.172815
0.6691
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:52 | 0.17100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:58 | 0.17100000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.171 | 0.1695 | 0.1747 | 2.47 | 0.2322 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1695 - 0.171 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.171 - 0.1747 = -0.0037
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0037 / -0.0015 = 2.4667
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 914.4385 | 100 | 5347.5936 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0015 = -5333.33
Taille de position USD = -5333.33 x 0.171 = -912
Donc, tu peux acheter -5333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1695
Avec un position size USD de -912$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0015 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -5333.33 x -0.0037 = 19.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.73$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.16 % | 19.79 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.88 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0292 % | 117.33 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.171 | 0.1695 | 0.1747 | 2.47 | 0.2322 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1695 - 0.171 = -0.0015
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.171 - 0.1747 = -0.0037
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0037 / -0.0015 = 2.4667
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.135% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.345% | 2.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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