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Short Trade on 2Z

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13 Aug 2026 at 11:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2451.01 2Z at 0.0478$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05108 (6.84 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 11:10 → 14:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.04781$

Qty 2451.0104 2Z

Size 117.1951$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 117.18$

SL 0.05108 (-6.84%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.96% / -2.29$ MAE -2.18% MFE +1.48% 0.2R expires 13 Aug 14:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68193)
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0082

Quality Score
0.318
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 11:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

13/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

13/08 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression — 0
Operational range transition — 0
Tactical range range — 0
Micro — —
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Impulse : —
% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.88
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 11:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.3175
Score SMA
0.4431
Rank
#49 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0082
Rank Norm SMA
0.1846
Calculé le
13/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2491 r1h: 0.135% · r4h: -0.063% · r1d: -8.05% · r3d: -13.10% · ema21_slope: -0.3722% · dist_ema21: -2.428%
Force Relative 25% 0.2653 rs_1h: -0.246% · rs_4h: -0.553% · rs_1d: -8.99% · rs_3d: -12.06% · beta_24h: -1.576
Volume 20% 0.1762 rvol_20: 0.04× · zscore_50: -0.358 · trend: -85.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.2747 ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 98.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.840% (0.0033)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.481% 0.2R -0.310% 0.1R 4.8× 12
2h +1.481% 0.2R -1.481% 0.2R 1.0× 24
3h ★ +1.481% 0.2R -2.184% 0.3R 0.7× 36
4h +1.481% 0.2R -3.188% 0.5R 0.5× 48
8h +1.481% 0.2R -3.495% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.481% 0.2R -7.739% 1.1R 0.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.06
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
40%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.53 bear_high -4.65% -0.98 12/08 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
43%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.34 range_medium -0.73% -0.85 13/08 08:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
50%
choppy 51% late — — 0.20 range_low -0.09% -0.96 13/08 10:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_medium
54%
noisy_chop 37% early near -0.1ATR — — range_low +0.42% -0.08 13/08 10:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 32b — 7.434×ATR p91 -2.384×ATR p95
4h ↓ down late 5b — 8.791×ATR p97 -1.536×ATR p81
1h ↓ down late 20b — 18.339×ATR p100 -2.111×ATR p95
15m ↓ down early 3b — 0.685×ATR p0 -0.035×ATR p1

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.05107896
  2. atr: 0.00108799
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-13T18:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 50
  2. total: 50
  3. score: 0.2491
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04781 0.05108 0.04623
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04781
  • Stop Loss: 0.05108
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05108 - 0.04781 = 0.00327

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04781 - = 0.04781

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04781 / 0.00327 = 14.6208

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
117.1951 100 2451.0104 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00327

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00327 = 2446.48

Taille de position USD = 2446.48 x 0.04781 = 116.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 2446.48 avec un stoploss a 0.05108

Avec un position size USD de 116.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2446.48 x 0.00327 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2446.48 x 0.04781 = 116.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 116.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2446.48
  • Taille de position USD 116.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 116.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 14.6208

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 117.18 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.84 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-2.29 $ -1.96
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1836 % 31.93 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04781 0.05108 0.04623
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04781
  • Stop Loss: 0.05108
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05108 - 0.04781 = 0.00327

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04781 - = 0.04781

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04781 / 0.00327 = 14.6208

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.840% (0.0033)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.481% 0.2R -0.310% 0.1R 4.8× 12
2h +1.481% 0.2R -1.481% 0.2R 1.0× 24
3h ★ +1.481% 0.2R -2.184% 0.3R 0.7× 36
4h +1.481% 0.2R -3.188% 0.5R 0.5× 48
8h +1.481% 0.2R -3.495% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.481% 0.2R -7.739% 1.1R 0.2× 144

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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