Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 67.13 LINK at 8.854$ per unit. Take profit: 9.1515 (3.36 %) & Stop Loss: 8.7344 (1.35 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 11:08:51
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 11:08
→ 12:00
· 51 minutes
Position
Entry 8.8536$
Qty 67.1259 LINK
Size 594.3056$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 9.1515 (+3.36%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.7344 (-1.35%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.35%
/ -8$
MAE -2.02%
MFE +0.55%
0.4R
expires
13 Aug 23:08
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68163)
#16 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 11:00
score du 13/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6498
Quality Score
0.555
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 11:00
13/08 11:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#16 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#16 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.35 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.72×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.60×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 13/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.88
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5550
Score SMA
0.5319
Rank
#16
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6498
Rank Norm SMA
0.6878
Calculé le
13/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6060 | r1h: 0.407% · r4h: 1.135% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 6.52% · ema21_slope: 0.0352% · dist_ema21: 1.039% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5816 | rs_1h: 0.027% · rs_4h: 0.644% · rs_1d: 0.33% · rs_3d: 7.55% · beta_24h: 1.714 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2351 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.599 · trend: -21.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5382 | ADX: 15.4 (weak) · Chop: 49.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.697% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.346%
(0.1192)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.619% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.550% | 0.4R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.550% | 0.4R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.550% | 0.4R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.85 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.49 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.83 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.72 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.65 | range_low | -0.09% | -0.00 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
35%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | — | range_low | +0.42% | +0.12 | 13/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.863×ATR | p12 | +1.224×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0.76×ATR | p0 | +1.266×ATR | p74 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.649×ATR | p49 | +1.581×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 5.183×ATR | p85 | +1.923×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8087
- reason: up_bo width=2.35×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.73442091
- tp_price: 9.15154772
- atr:
- score: 0.80871307833959
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T03:08:43.586799
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80871307833959
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1001
- obi_top10 : 0.0043
- micro_price : 8.82042979
- spread_pct : 0.011338
- mid_price : 8.8205
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 8.85
- ask_wall_size : 81882
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0961
- obi_top5_std : 0.0171
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7102
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.8095
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.6711
- balance_zone_mid:
8.7403
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786496400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786633200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.3541
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8087
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786629600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
8.8095
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7436
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7501
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.05879089 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.7436
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7501
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:08 | 8.85360000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:14 | 8.85360000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:20 | 8.81790000 | -0.403% |
| 4 | 11:25 | 8.81790000 | -0.403% |
| 5 | 11:32 | 8.81790000 | -0.403% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7102ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.100
avg 0.096
± 0.017
OBI Top 10
0.004
Microstructure
Mid Price
8.8205
Micro Price
8.8204
Spread
0.0113%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
8.8500
Size
81,882.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8536 | 8.7344 | 9.1515 | 2.5 | 11.438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.8536
- Stop Loss: 8.7344
- Take Profit: 9.1515
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7344 - 8.8536 = -0.1192
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.8536 - 9.1515 = -0.2979
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2979 / -0.1192 = 2.4992
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 594.3056 | 100 | 67.1259 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1192
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1192 = -67.11
Taille de position USD = -67.11 x 8.8536 = -594.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -67.11 avec un stoploss a 8.7344
Avec un position size USD de -594.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -67.11 x -0.1192 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -67.11 x -0.2979 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -67.11
- Taille de position USD -594.17
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4992
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.36 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.35 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5305 % | 113.68 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8536 | 8.7344 | 9.1515 | 2.5 | 11.438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.8536
- Stop Loss: 8.7344
- Take Profit: 9.1515
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.7344 - 8.8536 = -0.1192
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.8536 - 9.1515 = -0.2979
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2979 / -0.1192 = 2.4992
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.1515
[entry_price] => 8.8536
[stop_loss] => 8.72248
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 16:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.1515
[entry_price] => 8.8536
[stop_loss] => 8.71056
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 16:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.1515
[entry_price] => 8.8536
[stop_loss] => 8.69864
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 16:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.346%
(0.1192)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.619% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.550% | 0.4R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.550% | 0.4R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.550% | 0.4R | -2.018% | 1.5R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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