Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 6.68 HYPE at 58.195$ per unit. Take profit: 59.6499 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 56.9966 (2.06 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 6.68 HYPE at 58.195$ per unit. Take profit: 59.6499 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 56.9966 (2.06 %)
Position
Entry 58.195$
Qty 6.6753 HYPE
Size 388.4719$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 59.6499 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.71$
SL 56.9966 (-2.06%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.21
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9598
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.44×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.84×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6847 | r1h: 0.975% · r4h: 1.332% · r1d: 4.25% · r3d: 7.13% · ema21_slope: 0.1517% · dist_ema21: 2.175% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6517 | rs_1h: 0.595% · rs_4h: 0.842% · rs_1d: 3.31% · rs_3d: 8.16% · beta_24h: 2.201 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6030 | rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.054 · trend: 52.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8405 | ADX: 41.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -0.895% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -1.531% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -1.531% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.524% | 0.3R | -2.053% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -2.053% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -2.383% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.05 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | 0.56 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.65 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.53 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.19 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | +0.42% | +0.05 | 13/08 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 37b | — | 5.863×ATR | p79 | +0.367×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 4.643×ATR | p72 | +2.331×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.487×ATR | p46 | +2.449×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.402×ATR | p40 | +1.732×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | 58.19500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:10 | 57.95000000 | -0.421% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.195 | 56.9966 | 59.6499 | 1.21 | 80.792 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.9966 - 58.195 = -1.1984
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 58.195 - 59.6499 = -1.4549
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4549 / -1.1984 = 1.214
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 388.4719 | 100 | 6.6753 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.1984 = -6.68
Taille de position USD = -6.68 x 58.195 = -388.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -6.68 avec un stoploss a 56.9966
Avec un position size USD de -388.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6.68 x -1.1984 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6.68 x -1.4549 = 9.72
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.72$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.06 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.61 $ | -1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0534 % | 99.71 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.195 | 56.9966 | 59.6499 | 1.21 | 80.792 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 56.9966 - 58.195 = -1.1984
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 58.195 - 59.6499 = -1.4549
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.4549 / -1.1984 = 1.214
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -0.895% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -1.531% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -1.531% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.524% | 0.3R | -2.053% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -2.053% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.524% | 0.3R | -2.383% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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