13 Aug 2026 at 11:10:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 20.91 VVV at 12.443$ per unit. Take profit: 12.7541 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 12.0604 (3.07 %)

VVV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 13 Aug 2026 11:10 → 17:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 12.443$

Qty 20.912 VVV

Size 260.2075$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 12.7541 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.51$

SL 12.0604 (-3.07%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.81

Status loss PnL -1.04% / -2.7$ MAE -2.84% MFE +1.26% 0.4R expires 13 Aug 17:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 68187)
#8 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9448

Quality Score
0.633
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 11:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 49 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.07 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.27×ATR
4h near -0.31×ATR
1d clear 1.55×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

13/08 11:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

12/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

13/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

13/08 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot)
range compression range_bound
Strategic range compression 0
Operational range transition 0
Tactical range range 0
Micro
MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.80
Transition risk : 0.20
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
Impulse :
% Positive (universe)
15m
1h
4h
24h
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m
4h
24h
Dispersion :
Universe :
Regime confidence : 0.88
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 11:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.6328
Score SMA
0.5845
Rank
#8 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9448
Rank Norm SMA
0.7606
Calculé le
13/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6682 r1h: -0.184% · r4h: -0.168% · r1d: 6.24% · r3d: 3.32% · ema21_slope: 0.3565% · dist_ema21: 2.106%
Force Relative 25% 0.5653 rs_1h: -0.564% · rs_4h: -0.659% · rs_1d: 5.30% · rs_3d: 4.36% · beta_24h: 1.550
Volume 20% 0.3315 rvol_20: 0.98× · zscore_50: -0.100 · trend: -3.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8315 ADX: 39.8 (trend) · Chop: 23.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.075% (0.3826)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.153% 0.1R -1.350% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.153% 0.1R -2.837% 0.9R 0.1× 24
4h +1.262% 0.4R -2.837% 0.9R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.262% 0.4R -2.837% 0.9R 0.4× 72
8h +1.262% 0.4R -2.837% 0.9R 0.4× 96
12h +1.262% 0.4R -3.882% 1.3R 0.3× 144

computed 4 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.38
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% early 0.43 bear_high -4.65% +0.10 12/08 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.3ATR 0.45 range_medium -0.73% +0.55 13/08 08:00
1h ↑ up range range strong explosive expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 48% mid 0.39 range_low -0.09% +0.56 13/08 10:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bull_medium
58%
noisy_chop 42% early near 0.1ATR range_low +0.42% -0.11 13/08 10:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 18b 2.779×ATR p19 +0.733×ATR p39
4h ↑ up late 4b 3.413×ATR p56 +1.975×ATR p95
1h ↓ down mid 6b 2.01×ATR p31 +1.387×ATR p72
15m ↓ down early 6b 0.642×ATR p3 +0.653×ATR p24

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 12.06044374
  2. tp_price: 12.754075
  3. atr: 0.1530225
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-13T21:10:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 50
  3. score: 0.6682
  4. delta_2h: 0.0527
  5. extension_atr: 1.35
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9448
  9. confidence: 0.948

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 11:10 12.44300000 0%
2 12:10 12.35500000 -0.707%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.443 12.0604 12.7541 0.81 24.129
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.443
  • Stop Loss: 12.0604
  • Take Profit: 12.7541

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.0604 - 12.443 = -0.3826

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.443 - 12.7541 = -0.3111

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3111 / -0.3826 = 0.8131

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
260.2075 100 20.912 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.3826

Taille de position = 8 / -0.3826 = -20.91

Taille de position USD = -20.91 x 12.443 = -260.18

Donc, tu peux acheter -20.91 avec un stoploss a 12.0604

Avec un position size USD de -260.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -20.91 x -0.3826 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -20.91 x -0.3111 = 6.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.51$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -20.91
  • Taille de position USD -260.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.51
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8131

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.51 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.07 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.7 $ -1.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8369 % 92.26 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
12.443 12.0604 12.7541 0.81 24.129
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 12.443
  • Stop Loss: 12.0604
  • Take Profit: 12.7541

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.0604 - 12.443 = -0.3826

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 12.443 - 12.7541 = -0.3111

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3111 / -0.3826 = 0.8131

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.075% (0.3826)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.153% 0.1R -1.350% 0.4R 0.1× 12
2h +0.153% 0.1R -2.837% 0.9R 0.1× 24
4h +1.262% 0.4R -2.837% 0.9R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.262% 0.4R -2.837% 0.9R 0.4× 72
8h +1.262% 0.4R -2.837% 0.9R 0.4× 96
12h +1.262% 0.4R -3.882% 1.3R 0.3× 144

computed 4 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.