Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 52202.28 PUMP at 0.00288$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003266 (13.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.00273 (5.31 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 11:23:37
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 11:23
→ 23:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002883$
Qty 52202.2838 PUMP
Size 150.4992$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003266 (+13.28%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.00273 (-5.31%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.26%
/ +4.91$
MAE -3.33%
MFE +3.78%
0.7R
expires
13 Aug 23:23
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68190)
#4 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 11:00
score du 13/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7753
Quality Score
0.702
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
23.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 11:17
13/08 11:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.13×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.88
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7019
Score SMA
0.5337
Rank
#4
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7753
Rank Norm SMA
0.5945
Calculé le
13/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7538 | r1h: 1.841% · r4h: 2.677% · r1d: 6.40% · r3d: 7.15% · ema21_slope: 0.1656% · dist_ema21: 3.457% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7428 | rs_1h: 1.461% · rs_4h: 2.186% · rs_1d: 5.46% · rs_3d: 8.18% · beta_24h: 2.112 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5315 | rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 0.677 · trend: 5.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5582 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.864% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.307%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -0.659% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.781% | 0.7R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.781% | 0.7R | -4.370% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.65% | +1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 32% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.47 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.26 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.47 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | — | range_low | +0.42% | +0.24 | 13/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 6.826×ATR | p89 | +1.889×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 1.952×ATR | p0 | +1.102×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.462×ATR | p49 | +1.824×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.309×ATR | p95 | +2.102×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9177
- reason: up_bo width=2.71×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00272975
- tp_price: 0.00326612
- atr:
- score: 0.91770779460278
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T03:23:29.640324
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.91770779460278
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0406
- obi_top10 : -0.0293
- micro_price : 0.0028796
- spread_pct : 0.034734
- mid_price : 0.0028795
- bid_wall_price : 0.00287
- bid_wall_size : 48518957.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00289
- ask_wall_size : 57246637.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0382
- obi_top5_std : 0.0031
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7077
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002806
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.002664
- balance_zone_mid:
0.002735
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786467600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786633200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.7052
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9177
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786626000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002806
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8723
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.4669
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.249E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.8723
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.4669
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:23 | 0.00288300 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:28 | 0.00288300 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:35 | 0.00288300 | 0% |
| 4 | 12:22 | 0.00287400 | -0.312% |
| 5 | 12:28 | 0.00287400 | -0.312% |
| 6 | 12:34 | 0.00287400 | -0.312% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7077ms
Confidence avant OB :
92%
→
92%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.041
avg 0.038
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.029
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0029
Micro Price
0.0029
Spread
0.0347%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0029
Size
48,518,957.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0029
Size
57,246,637.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002883 | 0.00273 | 0.003266 | 2.5 | 0.003568 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002883
- Stop Loss: 0.00273
- Take Profit: 0.003266
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00273 - 0.002883 = -0.000153
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002883 - 0.003266 = -0.000383
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000383 / -0.000153 = 2.5033
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150.4992 | 100 | 52202.2838 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000153
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000153 = -52287.58
Taille de position USD = -52287.58 x 0.002883 = -150.75
Donc, tu peux acheter -52287.58 avec un stoploss a 0.00273
Avec un position size USD de -150.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -52287.58 x -0.000153 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -52287.58 x -0.000383 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -52287.58
- Taille de position USD -150.75
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5033
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.28 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.31 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.91 $ | 3.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3299 % | 62.75 % | 29 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002883 | 0.00273 | 0.003266 | 2.5 | 0.003568 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002883
- Stop Loss: 0.00273
- Take Profit: 0.003266
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.00273 - 0.002883 = -0.000153
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002883 - 0.003266 = -0.000383
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000383 / -0.000153 = 2.5033
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.307%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -0.659% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.081% | 0.4R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.781% | 0.7R | -3.330% | 0.6R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.781% | 0.7R | -4.370% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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