Long Trade on XMR (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.31 XMR at 401.91$ per unit. Take profit: 417.2197 (3.81 %) & Stop Loss: 395.7861 (1.52 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 11:12:51
hyperliquid
XMR
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 11:12
→ 14:35
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 401.91$
Qty 1.3064 XMR
Size 525.0384$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 417.2197 (+3.81%)
TP $ 20$
SL 395.7861 (-1.52%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.52%
/ -8$
MAE -2.33%
MFE +0.32%
0.2R
expires
13 Aug 23:12
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68197)
#27 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 11:00
score du 13/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7481
Quality Score
0.523
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 11:03
13/08 11:03
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#27 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#27 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.25×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.44×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.47×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | range | transition | — | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.88
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5227
Score SMA
0.5297
Rank
#27
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7481
Rank Norm SMA
0.5690
Calculé le
13/08/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5474 | r1h: 0.198% · r4h: -0.880% · r1d: 1.89% · r3d: 2.77% · ema21_slope: 0.1333% · dist_ema21: 0.940% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5075 | rs_1h: -0.182% · rs_4h: -1.371% · rs_1d: 0.95% · rs_3d: 3.81% · beta_24h: -0.512 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1737 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.954 · trend: -35.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6458 | ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 41.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.886% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.524%
(6.1239)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 0.2R | -0.602% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -0.602% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -1.762% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -2.085% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.321% | 0.2R | -2.331% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -2.331% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.57
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.50 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.84 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.35 | range_medium | -0.73% | +0.47 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.10 | range_low | -0.09% | +0.14 | 13/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.42% | -0.09 | 13/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 0.491×ATR | p0 | +2.293×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.891×ATR | p66 | +1.167×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.393×ATR | p0 | +1.086×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.403×ATR | p18 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9574
- reason: up_bo width=2.43×ATR dur=31b phase=extending|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 395.78610492
- tp_price: 417.21973771
- atr:
- score: 0.88735140961854
- expires_at: 2026-08-14T03:12:43.391277
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88735140961854
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2049
- obi_top10 : 0.1417
- micro_price : 402.0724
- spread_pct : 0.072155
- mid_price : 402.055
- bid_wall_price : 401
- bid_wall_size : 717.53
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 408
- ask_wall_size : 479.18
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2031
- obi_top5_std : 0.0013
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7031
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
400.5
- balance_zone_bottom:
391.79
- balance_zone_mid:
396.145
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786525200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786633200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4269
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8874
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786608000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
400.5
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7097
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
7
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3929
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 3.58895084 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.7097
bars_since_breakout
7
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3929
Signaux confirmants (17)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | 401.91000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:18 | 401.91000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:24 | 401.80000000 | -0.027% |
| 4 | 11:29 | 401.80000000 | -0.027% |
| 5 | 11:36 | 401.80000000 | -0.027% |
| 6 | 11:41 | 403.00000000 | +0.271% |
| 7 | 11:47 | 403.00000000 | +0.271% |
| 8 | 13:11 | 402.22000000 | +0.077% |
| 9 | 13:17 | 402.22000000 | +0.077% |
| 10 | 13:23 | 400.88000000 | -0.256% |
| 11 | 13:29 | 400.88000000 | -0.256% |
| 12 | 13:35 | 400.88000000 | -0.256% |
| 13 | 13:41 | 402.42000000 | +0.127% |
| 14 | 13:47 | 402.42000000 | +0.127% |
| 15 | 13:52 | 401.63000000 | -0.07% |
| 16 | 13:59 | 401.63000000 | -0.07% |
| 17 | 14:06 | 401.63000000 | -0.07% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7031ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
96%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.205
avg 0.203
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.142
Microstructure
Mid Price
402.0550
Micro Price
402.0724
Spread
0.0722%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
401.0000
Size
717.53
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
408.0000
Size
479.18
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401.91 | 395.7861 | 417.2197 | 2.5 | 520.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 401.91
- Stop Loss: 395.7861
- Take Profit: 417.2197
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 395.7861 - 401.91 = -6.1239
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 401.91 - 417.2197 = -15.3097
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.3097 / -6.1239 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 525.0384 | 100 | 1.3064 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.1239
Taille de position = 8 / -6.1239 = -1.31
Taille de position USD = -1.31 x 401.91 = -526.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.31 avec un stoploss a 395.7861
Avec un position size USD de -526.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.31 x -6.1239 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.31 x -15.3097 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.31
- Taille de position USD -526.5
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.81 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.52 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6372 % | 107.45 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401.91 | 395.7861 | 417.2197 | 2.5 | 520.9 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 401.91
- Stop Loss: 395.7861
- Take Profit: 417.2197
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 395.7861 - 401.91 = -6.1239
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 401.91 - 417.2197 = -15.3097
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -15.3097 / -6.1239 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 417.2197
[entry_price] => 401.91
[stop_loss] => 395.17371
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 19:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 417.2197
[entry_price] => 401.91
[stop_loss] => 394.56132
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 19:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 417.2197
[entry_price] => 401.91
[stop_loss] => 393.94893
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-13 19:25:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.524%
(6.1239)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.271% | 0.2R | -0.602% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -0.602% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -1.762% | 1.2R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -2.085% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.321% | 0.2R | -2.331% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.321% | 0.2R | -2.331% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
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