Short Trade on kPEPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 137907.26 kPEPE at 0.00265$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002585 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002709 (2.19 %)
13 Aug 2026 at 12:10:04
hyperliquid
kPEPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
13 Aug 2026 12:10
→ 18:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.002651$
Qty 137907.2574 kPEPE
Size 365.5921$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002585 (+2.49%)
TP $ 9.1$
SL 0.002709 (-2.19%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.14
Status
loss
PnL
-1.24%
/ -4.55$
MAE -1.32%
MFE +0.79%
0.4R
expires
13 Aug 18:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 68209)
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 13/08/2026 12:00
score du 13/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2749
Quality Score
0.417
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
13/08 12:00
13/08 12:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.79×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (+1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 13/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot)
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | +1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.80
Transition risk :
0.20
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Impulse :
—
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.63
Snapshot évalué : 13/08 12:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4169
Score SMA
0.4911
Rank
#47
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2749
Rank Norm SMA
0.3769
Calculé le
13/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3428 | r1h: -1.076% · r4h: -0.818% · r1d: -4.55% · r3d: -7.11% · ema21_slope: -0.1222% · dist_ema21: -1.787% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3249 | rs_1h: -0.866% · rs_4h: -1.196% · rs_1d: -4.98% · rs_3d: -6.21% · beta_24h: 2.428 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2117 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.238 · trend: -29.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6034 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 63.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.876% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.188%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -0.340% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -0.340% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -1.132% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.792% | 0.4R | -1.320% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -1.471% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -2.188% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.22
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.69 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.01 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.66 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.46 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.55 | range_low | -0.44% | -0.43 | 13/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.05% | -0.11 | 13/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 17b | — | 3.069×ATR | p7 | -0.912×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.467×ATR | p0 | -1.763×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 2.781×ATR | p55 | -2.273×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 3.107×ATR | p56 | -1.967×ATR | p84 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00270901
- tp_price: 0.00258472
- atr: 2.32E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-13T22:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 50
- score: 0.3428
- delta_2h: -0.0566
- extension_atr: -2.41
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2749
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:10 | 0.00265100 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:10 | 0.00265100 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002651 | 0.002709 | 0.002585 | 1.14 | 0.00328 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002651
- Stop Loss: 0.002709
- Take Profit: 0.002585
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002709 - 0.002651 = 5.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002651 - 0.002585 = 6.6E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.6E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 1.1379
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 365.5921 | 100 | 137907.2574 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 5.8E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 5.8E-5 = 137931.03
Taille de position USD = 137931.03 x 0.002651 = 365.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 137931.03 avec un stoploss a 0.002709
Avec un position size USD de 365.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 137931.03 x 5.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 137931.03 x 6.6E-5 = 9.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position 137931.03
- Taille de position USD 365.66
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 9.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1379
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 9.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.19 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.55 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3203 % | 60.35 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002651 | 0.002709 | 0.002585 | 1.14 | 0.00328 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002651
- Stop Loss: 0.002709
- Take Profit: 0.002585
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002709 - 0.002651 = 5.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002651 - 0.002585 = 6.6E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.6E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 1.1379
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.188%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -0.340% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -0.340% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -1.132% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.792% | 0.4R | -1.320% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -1.471% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.792% | 0.4R | -2.188% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
Commentaires
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