Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 135.8 VVV at 12.296$ per unit. Take profit: 12.4138 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 12.2371 (0.48 %)
Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 135.8 VVV at 12.296$ per unit. Take profit: 12.4138 (0.96 %) & Stop Loss: 12.2371 (0.48 %)
Position
Entry 12.296$
Qty 135.8039 VVV
Size 1669.8445$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 12.4138 (+0.96%)
TP $ 16$
SL 12.2371 (-0.48%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9266
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.55×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.419307 15m : 0.369498 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 13/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | range | compression | — | 0 |
| Operational | bear | transition | — | -1 |
| Tactical | range | range | — | 0 |
| Micro | — | — |
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6806 | r1h: 0.137% · r4h: 0.072% · r1d: 6.23% · r3d: 4.67% · ema21_slope: 0.3492% · dist_ema21: 1.876% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6268 | rs_1h: 0.347% · rs_4h: -0.306% · rs_1d: 5.79% · rs_3d: 5.56% · beta_24h: 1.769 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2782 | rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.253 · trend: -8.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8328 | ADX: 39.9 (trend) · Chop: 25.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.276% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.081% | 0.2R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.862% | 1.8R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.472% | 5.2R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.472% | 5.2R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.472% | 5.2R | -2.733% | 5.7R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.65% | +0.10 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.45 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.50 | 13/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.44% | +0.62 | 13/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | weak | compressed | compression | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.40 | range_low | -0.04% | -0.03 | 13/08 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.779×ATR | p19 | +0.733×ATR | p39 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.241×ATR | p52 | +1.824×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.064×ATR | p33 | +1.219×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.299×ATR | p7 | -0.003×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63689.4
-0.00377602
63449
0.419307
63607.9
-0.00249922
63449
0.369498
64042.7
-0.00927072
63449
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12.783
191
0.7427
0.643
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0.5919
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0.714
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0.124
1
0.77
2.361
0.6
0.4
1
8
1
0.5375
0.5956
7.636
0.5
2.1133
10.2857
2.361
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0.2426
0.5
0.2455
0.5499
0.5879
0.8631
0.7472
-2.9304
8.661
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:16 | 12.29600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:22 | 12.28500000 | -0.089% |
| 3 | 12:28 | 12.27500000 | -0.171% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 11:40:00 | 12.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 12:10:00 | 12.529 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:30:00 | 12.384 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:05:00 | 12.556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:25:00 | 12.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:30:00 | 12.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:50:00 | 12.414 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:30:00 | 12.358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:50:00 | 12.462 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:10:00 | 12.275 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 21:30:00 | 11.496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 01:45:00 | 11.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 06:00:00 | 12.442 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 08:15:00 | 12.295 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:45:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:30:00 | 12.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:00:00 | 12.556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 13:15:00 | 12.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:30:00 | 12.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 12.275 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 21:00:00 | 11.776 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 11.984 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 11.771 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:00:00 | 11.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 16:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 11.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 09:00:00 | 12.147 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 11.496 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:00:00 | 12.783 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:00:00 | 12.346 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.296 | 12.2371 | 12.4138 | 2 | 23.486 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2371 - 12.296 = -0.0589
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.296 - 12.4138 = -0.1178
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1178 / -0.0589 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1669.8445 | 100 | 135.8039 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0589 = -135.82
Taille de position USD = -135.82 x 12.296 = -1670.04
Donc, tu peux acheter -135.82 avec un stoploss a 12.2371
Avec un position size USD de -1670.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -135.82 x -0.0589 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -135.82 x -0.1178 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.96 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.163 % | 242.8 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.296 | 12.2371 | 12.4138 | 2 | 23.486 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 12.2371 - 12.296 = -0.0589
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.296 - 12.4138 = -0.1178
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1178 / -0.0589 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.081% | 0.2R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.862% | 1.8R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.472% | 5.2R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.472% | 5.2R | -1.675% | 3.5R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.472% | 5.2R | -2.733% | 5.7R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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