Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 251335.22 PUMP at 0.00282$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002882 (2.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002786 (1.14 %)
Long Trade on PUMP (CatchTheWave)
With 251335.22 PUMP at 0.00282$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002882 (2.27 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002786 (1.14 %)
Position
Entry 0.002818$
Qty 251335.2183 PUMP
Size 708.2626$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002882 (+2.27%)
TP $ 16.09$
SL 0.002786 (-1.14%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7993
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.48×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium (-1) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 13/08 12:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.357006 15m : 0.223111 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 12/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 13/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 13/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7999 | r1h: 1.884% · r4h: 4.697% · r1d: 5.30% · r3d: 5.04% · ema21_slope: 0.1968% · dist_ema21: 4.562% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7874 | rs_1h: 2.094% · rs_4h: 4.319% · rs_1d: 4.86% · rs_3d: 5.93% · beta_24h: 0.860 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7319 | rvol_20: 2.35× · zscore_50: 1.680 · trend: 42.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6742 | ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 46.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.932% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 0.3R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.632% | 1.4R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.945% | 2.6R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.187% | 3.7R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 3.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.175% | 5.4R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.65% | +1.00 | 12/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -1.13% | +0.67 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.25 | bear_low | -0.81% | +0.56 | 13/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.37% | +0.34 | 13/08 12:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 30b | — | 6.826×ATR | p89 | +1.889×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 2.456×ATR | p26 | +1.438×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 2.344×ATR | p49 | +1.371×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.622×ATR | p60 | +0.359×ATR | p33 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63635
-0.00922458
63048
0.357006
63589.3
-0.00324574
63383
0.223111
64041.1
-0.0104494
63372
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0.5223
0.6111
3.942
0.55
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3.7566
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0.533
0.2886
0.94
0.2226
0.5347
0.5112
0.8745
0.7783
-2.1068
7.398
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 10:20:00 | 0.002809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 10:55:00 | 0.002807 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:25:00 | 0.002745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 11:55:00 | 0.002797 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 12:15:00 | 0.002765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 13:55:00 | 0.00285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 14:30:00 | 0.002815 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 14:55:00 | 0.002899 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 15:35:00 | 0.002943 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:40:00 | 0.002813 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 01:30:00 | 0.002776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 02:15:00 | 0.002722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:45:00 | 0.00287 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 06:30:00 | 0.002767 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 08:30:00 | 0.002823 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 09:45:00 | 0.002762 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 10:15:00 | 0.002809 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:15:00 | 0.002745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:30:00 | 0.002943 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 16:30:00 | 0.002832 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 0.002957 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 17:00:00 | 0.00267 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:00:00 | 0.002803 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:00:00 | 0.002814 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 07:00:00 | 0.002632 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 15:00:00 | 0.002806 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 21:00:00 | 0.002658 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 05:00:00 | 0.00287 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-13 11:00:00 | 0.002745 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-13 15:00:00 | 0.002943 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002818 | 0.002786 | 0.002882 | 2 | 0.003607 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002786 - 0.002818 = -3.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002818 - 0.002882 = -6.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.4E-5 / -3.2E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 708.2626 | 100 | 251335.2183 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -3.2E-5 = -250000
Taille de position USD = -250000 x 0.002818 = -704.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -250000 avec un stoploss a 0.002786
Avec un position size USD de -704.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -250000 x -3.2E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -250000 x -6.4E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.27 % | 16.09 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.14 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.09 $ | 2.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1001 % | 96.87 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002818 | 0.002786 | 0.002882 | 2 | 0.003607 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002786 - 0.002818 = -3.2E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002818 - 0.002882 = -6.4E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -6.4E-5 / -3.2E-5 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.284% | 0.3R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.632% | 1.4R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.945% | 2.6R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 2.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.187% | 3.7R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 3.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.175% | 5.4R | -1.100% | 1.0R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 4 weeks ago
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